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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The Germans to show their pure class! 欧联杯分享 勒沃库森vs年轻人

2021-02-25

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2021-02-26 04:00

解读理由

Bayer Leverkusen vs Young Boys


Bayer Leverkusen suffered a slightly surprising 3-4 loss in the first leg. They were trailing 0-3 but remarkably fought back to make it 3-3 but a late goal by the Swiss Young Boys secured them a win. The German team have now allowed goals in row and are still missing the Finnish elite goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky which is of course not good for them but I think the bookies/betting market put too much emphasis on Hradecky and many other players missing.. But let's remember Leverkusen have also scored quite a lot of goals. Allowing and scoring a lot of goals is pretty typical for them taking a look at goals scored in their matches. Now they just have to outscore Young Boys and I expect at least 3 goals today. I am fully aware that Bayer Leverkusen have failed to grab a win their latest 3 matches but this along with the missing players is offering us to bet on them at clearly higher odds than they would be after "normal" results and a full squad. Leverkusen do have enough quality and options in their squad. Many promising players have a chance to prove themselves now. The difference in raw class is pretty big compared to the Swiss visitors who, of course, are still a decent team. The home advantage without fans is of course smaller than normally but let's not forget the Germans are unbeaten in their latest 11 matches at home in Europa League.The Swiss team have not faced a defeat in the Swiss Super League for a long time but the overall level of this league is a considerably lower than The German Bundesliga. I don't think the bookies fully realize the difference.. Probably these good results also makes the bookies give too much credit for Young Boys - they are over-rated here without a doubt! I of course watched the first leg last week and Leverkusen were the better team - ball possession 58-42% and shots on goal 10-8 . Expect the hosts to be motivated and irritated by the 3-4 first leg defeat and to raise their level showing their true class and probably win by 1 or 2 goals! Probability estimation on Leverkusen to win is 73%

勒沃库森在第一回合比赛中出人意料地以3-4败北。他们在0-3落后的情况下进行了有力的反击,最终将比分改写为3-3,但是年轻人在比赛最后时刻的一粒进球帮助他们锁定胜局。德国球队现在已经连续进球,但仍然错过了优秀守门员卢卡斯·哈拉迪基,这当然对他们来说不是好事,但我认为机构过于强调哈拉迪基和其他球员的缺席。但是让我们记住勒沃库森也进了很多球。进很多球对他们来说是常态的,看看他们在比赛中进了多少球。现在他们只需要超越年轻球员就可以了,我希望今天至少能进3个球。我很清楚勒沃库森最近三场比赛都没能赢下一场比赛,但是这些球员的缺席给我们提供了一个很明显的机会来选择他们,而不是在“正常”的结果和完整的阵容之后。勒沃库森有足够的实力和选择。许多有前途的选手现在有机会证明自己。与瑞士球队相比,他们的等级差别很大,当然,他们仍然是一支不错的球队。没有球迷的主场优势当然比平时要小,但我们不要忘记德国球队在最近的欧罗巴联赛主场11场比赛中保持不败。瑞士球队已经有很长一段时间没有在瑞士超级联赛中遭遇过失败了,但是这个联赛的整体水平远远低于德甲。我认为大家还没有完全意识到其中的差别。毫无疑问年轻人被高估了!我当然看了上周的第一回合比赛,勒沃库森是更好的球队——控球率58-42%,进球10-8。预计勒沃库森会被第一回合3-4的失利所激励和激怒,提升他们的水平,展示他们真正的实力,可能会赢1 - 2个球!勒沃库森获胜的概率估计是73%

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