In my opinion Vila Nova have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Vila Nova didn't lost any of last 4 home matches against CRB so for sure guests not coming here full of confidence.

It's last part of the season - CRB is pretty safe as they are 8 points above relegation zone, on the other hand Vila Nova have only 2 points advantage over teams from red zone. For sure they have huge motivation to win this game to increase the gap.

Vila Nova currently is in very good form - 3 wins in last 4 matches and even when they lost on away against strong Gremio 1:2, they looked very good. There is no problems with creativity and goalscoring - 6 goals in last 4 matches.

CRB is in much worse form - only one win in last 5 matches and during that run they failed to score 3 times. In addition to that today they are without their best scorer Fabinho, he scored 7 goals so far (25% of whole team goals in current season).

Vila Nova is extremely hard to get broken at home - only 2 losses in 15 home matches and only 9 goals conceded. CRB is poor away team, no doubt about that - 8 losses in 14 away matches and 24 goals conceded.

I see bigger chances for hosts than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来维拉诺瓦有很好的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

维拉诺瓦在最近4场主场对阵CRB的比赛中没有输过一场，所以可以肯定的是，客人来这里不是充满信心的。

这是赛季的最后一部分，CRB是相当安全的，因为他们比降级区高出8分，另一方面维拉诺瓦只比红区球队领先2分。当然，他们有巨大的动力去赢得这场比赛来扩大差距。

维拉诺瓦目前状态非常好——最近4场比赛3胜，即使在客场1:2输给强大的格雷米奥时，他们看起来也非常好。创造力和进球都没有问题——最近4场比赛进了6球。

CRB的状态糟糕得多——最近5场比赛只赢了一场，在这段时间里他们3次没有进球。除此之外，今天他们还失去了最好的射手法比尼奥，他到目前为止打进了7球(占本赛季全队进球的25%)。

维拉诺瓦在主场很难被攻破——15场主场仅输2场，只丢9球。CRB客场表现不佳，这一点毋庸置疑——14场客场8负丢24球。

我认为东道主的胜算比博彩公司给我们的指数要大。