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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Brazil!

2022-09-22

比赛分析

巴西乙

已完赛

星期四2022-09-22 08:00

解读理由

Cruzeiro VS Vasco

Cruzeiro host Vasco at Mineirão in Belo Horizonte for this Brazilian Serie B clash Thursday morning Beijing time. This league – the second tier of Brazilian football - is on average a low-scoring one but today football fans cans expect an entertaining match by Serie B standards. This is mainly because of the enormous offensive power the hosts possess. The have netted the ball 41 times so far this season in Serie B and in terms of expected goals scored would even have earned a few more! Vasco too can score goals and have done so 35 times so far. We must realize that whilst Vasco are a big team for this league there is still a big difference in pure class between the two teams. Cruzeiro are clearly the best team in the whole league and currently top the standings with a total of whopping 56 points and have allowed just 16 goals. Vasco have a reasonably solid defense as well, but this is still the area where the gap in the hosts’ favor is the biggest.

Almost all teams have a substantial home advantage in this league, but Cruzeiro have been stunningly good in front of their loud fans winning 13 of the home matches with an awesome goal difference of 25:4! They are very big favorites here and are offered too high odds by the bookies who once again over-value the under-performing visitors. Cruzeiro are in great form and have not lost any of their latest 13 matches winning most of them. In their most recent match, they visited a pretty good team CRB priced around 2.20 to win on the betting market and took a routine win 2-0. It was not perhaps their shiniest performance, but they are so good and mentally strong that they win most matches even when they play say at 80% of their best level. Before this they beat Operario 1-0 at home but would have deserved a win by a larger after big domination. Vasco, on the other hand, have not been at their best in recent weeks despite beating Nautico 4-1 in their most recent game priced around 1.50 to win. Quite interestingly though Nautico recorded 63% ball possession as well as more shots on goal, goal attempts, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! The final score is indeed very misleading. Before this they lost the Gremio 1-2 away from home but played reasonably okay. Even so, they would have to improve or be lucky to avoid a defeat here. Let’s also remember that they have taken some four points more than they would have deserved in terms of expected points.


北京时间周四上午,克鲁塞罗将在贝洛奥里藏特的米内朗主场迎战巴西乙级联赛的瓦斯科。这个联赛 - 巴西足球的第二级别 - 平均进球数比较少,但今天的足球迷可以期待一场以乙级联赛为标准的有趣比赛。这主要是因为东道主拥有巨大的攻击力。本赛季到目前为止,他们已经在意乙联赛中打进了 41 球,就预期进球而言,他们甚至会赢得更多!瓦斯科也能进球,到目前为止已经进了35球 。我们必须意识到,虽然瓦斯科在这个联盟中是一支强大的球队,但两支球队在纯粹的级别上仍然存在很大差异。克鲁塞罗显然是整个联盟中最好的球队,目前以高达 56 分的总分高居榜首,只丢了 16 个球。瓦斯科也有相当稳固的防守,但这仍然是主队优势差距最大的区域。

几乎所有的球队都有大量的在这个联赛中拥有主场优势,但克鲁塞罗在他们喧闹的球迷面前表现惊人,以 25:4 的惊人净胜球赢得了 13 场主场比赛!他们在这里是非常受欢迎的,并且再次高估表现不佳的访客的博彩公司提供了过高的赔率。克鲁塞罗状态很好,最近13场比赛没有输掉任何一场,赢得了大部分比赛。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们拜访了一支相当不错的球队CRB,价格在2.20左右,在投注市场上获胜,并以2-0取得常规胜利。这也许不是他们最耀眼的表现,但他们是如此的优秀和强大的精神,以至于他们赢得了大多数比赛,即使他们打出了最好水平的 80%。在此之前,他们在主场以 1-0 击败了 Operario,但本应以更大的优势获胜。另一方面,尽管在最近的一场比赛中以 1.50 的赔率以 1.50 的比分击败 Nautico,但瓦斯科在最近几周并没有达到最佳状态。不过很有趣Nautico 记录了 63% 的控球率以及更多的射门、进球尝试、传球、完成的传球、进攻和危险进攻!最后的分数确实很误导人。在此之前,他们在客场以 1-2 输掉了格雷米奥,但打得还算不错。即便如此,他们也必须提高或幸运地避免在这里失败。让我们也记住,他们多拿了四分,超出了他们应得的预期分数。

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