I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.10 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Recife coming to this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in last match against Bahia when they recorded valuable win at home. Team is fresh - last match 8 days ago.

On the other hand Gremio last match played 4 days ago when they lost 0:2 on away against Novorozontino. Painful loss as they played without their stars like Nicolas, Campaz or Janderson. Today they are also unavailable, but they have one new huge absence - midfielder Villassanti go to play for national team. That should have very bad impact on their performance today.

Recife didn't lost in 13 of last 17 matches against Gremio and they have all required tools to avoid loss also today. I see excellent value on away side.