In my opinion Wolves have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1.5 AH looks like very good bet to play here.

Wolves have good advantage in fitness department before today's game as they are fresh in comparison to Citizens which played Champions League match against Borussia Dortmund just 3 days ago.

City was able to win that game 2:1, but that wasn't convincing performance at all: expected goals scored for City 0.97, for Dortmund 0.66. City intensity not looked good in my eyes in that game.

Wolverhampton at Molineux is very consistent team at the back: 3 years ago they conceded 19 goals in 19 home matches, two years ago they conceded 25 goals in 19 home matches and in previous season they conceded 25 goals in 19 home matches. In current season with Bruno Lange on the bench they conceded only 4 goals in 6 matches - it's best result in whole league and I see hard game for guests.

Wolverhampton intensity, aggression and stability at the back is always problematic for big teams. They played on away against Tottenham and Spurs had limited chances in that game, scored goal after corner.

According to the models, City scored more goals than they really should. They scored 20 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 13.9. It's huge difference. Their super star Haaland scored in first three away Premier League matches, but no player has ever scored in first 4..

I feel very hard game for Citizens here and on those circumstances +1.5 AH on hosts looks like really good value for me.

在我看来，狼队在今天的比赛中避免大失利的机会非常大。受让胜看起来是个不错的选择。

狼队在今天的比赛之前在体能方面有很好的优势，因为与三天前刚刚对阵多特蒙德的欧冠比赛的曼城相比，他们是新鲜的。

曼城能够以 2:1 赢得那场比赛，但这根本不是令人信服的表现：曼城的预期进球数为 0.97，多特蒙德的预期进球数为 0.66。在那场比赛中，曼城的强度在我看来并不好。

狼队在莫利纽克斯的后防线非常稳定：3年前他们在19场主场比赛中丢了19球，两年前他们在19场主场比赛中丢了25球，上赛季他们在19场主场比赛中丢了25球。本赛季布鲁诺·兰格在替补席上的情况下，他们在 6 场比赛中只丢了 4 个球——这是整个联赛中最好的结果，我看到客队的比赛很艰难。

伍尔弗汉普顿后场的强度、侵略性和稳定性始终如一对于大团队来说是个问题。他们在客场对阵托特纳姆热刺，而热刺在那场比赛中的机会有限，一个接一个地进球。

根据预期进球模型，曼城的进球数超出了他们应有的水平。他们打进了 20 球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进 13.9 球。这是巨大的差异。他们的超级巨星哈兰德在英超联赛的前三场客场比赛中都有进球，但没有球员在前四场比赛中进球。

我觉得本场曼城会非常艰难，在这种情况下，主队受让胜对我来说真的很有价值。