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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on!

2022-09-17

比赛分析

巴西乙

已完赛

星期六2022-09-17 08:30

解读理由

Novorizontino VS Gremio

Novorizontino host Gremio for this Brazilian Serie B round 30 battle at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in Sao Paulo Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of this amazing football country’s football and is of decent level by global standards. Home advantage is substantial. indeed, Gremio have been very disappointing on the road this season winning just two of their 14 matches away from home and scoring a pathetic six goals! Novorizontino are not among the best home teams in this league but have still lost just one of their latest eight games in front of their loud fans. This league is, similarly to many other South American leagues, for example the Argentinian Liga Profesional. a low-scoring one. I see this match as even more low-scoring than the betting market does, and the probability of a draw is quite high – 34%. Gremio often play amazingly cautious football on the road and I also do not expect the hosts to be that aggressive here against a tough opponent. Gremio are definitely the better team here but the gap is not too big. With today’s expected lineups – taking the home advantage into account I do not see a favorite in this match. The hosts are missing Giovanni – Ligger’s situation is questionable. Gremio, on the other hand, will have to compete without injured Campaz, Janderson, Kannemann and Nicolas Vichiatto – Bitelo is suspended because of yellow cards.

Neither team are in particularly good form at the moment. Gremio have lost two - the hosts have suffered three losses in their most recent five matches. Gremio did beat out-of-form Vasco 2-1 in their most recent match but did not really convince me as clear favorites according to the betting market. Vasco even recorded over 60% ball possession, more passes, completed passes and attacks. The hosts were in trouble against a tough home team Sampaio Correa in their most recent match but would have deserved a win on the 3rd of this month at home against CSA after close to 70% ball possession and recording more in expected goals. They also recorded much more attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 81-31. They were unlucky also against Ponte Preta on the 26th of August at home. It was a 1-1 draw. We have a 67% chance of winning with the +0.5 goals handicap!


北京时间周六上午,在圣保罗的豪尔赫·伊斯梅尔·德比亚西博士球场,诺沃里佐蒂诺将主场迎战巴西乙级联赛第 30 轮比赛。这是这个令人惊叹的足球国家足球的第二梯队,以全球标准来看是体面的水平。主场优势可观。的确,格雷米奥本赛季在客场的14场客场比赛中只赢了两场,打进了可怜的6球,实在令人失望! Novorizo​​ntino 不是这个联盟中最好的主队之一,但在他们大声的球迷面前仍然只输掉了最近的八场比赛中的一场。该联赛与许多其他南美联赛类似,例如阿根廷职业联赛。一个低分的。我认为这场比赛的得分比投注市场还要低,平局的概率相当高——34%。格雷米奥经常在客场踢出非常谨慎的足球,我也不认为主队在面对强硬的对手时会如此咄咄逼人。格雷米奥绝对是这里更好的球队,但差距不是太大。按照今天的预期阵容——考虑到主场优势,我看不到这场比赛的最爱。东道主缺少乔瓦尼-利格的情况值得怀疑。另一方面,格雷米奥必须在没有受伤的坎帕斯、詹德森、坎内曼和尼古拉斯·维希亚托的情况下参加比赛——比特洛因黄牌被停赛。

目前两支球队的状态都不是特别好。格雷米奥输了两场——东道主在最近的五场比赛中输了三场。格雷米奥在最近的比赛中确实以 2-1 击败了状态不佳的瓦斯科,但根据指数,并没有真正让我相信我是明显的最爱。瓦斯科甚至记录了超过 60% 的控球率、更多的传球、完成的传球和进攻。东道主在最近的比赛中遇到了强硬的主队桑帕约科雷亚的麻烦,但本月 3 日,在接近 70% 的控球率之后,他们理应在主场对阵 CSA 的比赛中获胜拥有和记录更多的预期目标。他们还记录了更多的攻击,尤其是危险的攻击——81-31。他们在 8 月 26 日主场对阵 Ponte Preta 时也很不幸。这是1-1的平局。我们有 67% 的机会以 +0.5 的进球让分获胜!

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