In my opinion Cadiz have bigger chances to avoid loss in today's match up than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Valladolid have really bad streak against Cadiz - they failed to win against them in last 8 consecutive La Liga matches. Cadiz didn't lost any of last 4 away matches at this stadium so for sure they have good mental advantage.

Valladolid have squad problems before today's game - key defender Luis Perez for sure is unavailable. Key midfielder Kike is doubtful, same as key striker Guardiola. Cadiz coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Obviously, Cadiz have the worst possible start of the season - they lost all 5 matches and even not scored a single goal, but they played against stronger teams than Valladolid (Barcelona, Sociedad or Bilbao) and according to the expected goals scored model they should score 2.34 goals.

Valladolid doesn't looked convincing so far - only one win in 5 matches with 3:10 goals balance. They won in last home game against Almeria after goal in 90+3, but they not recorded two wins in a row at home ina Liga since 2019..

Cadiz coach Sergio Gonzalez coached Valladolid since April 2018 to May 2021 so he knows today's opposition very well and this is huge advantage for guests, no doubt about it.

Big stat: Real Valladolid failed to win in 20 of last 21 league matches played at Friday (!) so I'm more than happy to play against them also today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，加的斯在今天的比赛中避免失利的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

巴拉多利德在对阵加的斯的比赛中表现非常糟糕，他们在最近连续8场西甲比赛中都没有赢过加的斯。加的斯在过去的4场客场比赛中没有输过，所以他们肯定有很好的心理优势。

在今天的比赛之前，巴拉多利德的阵容出现了问题——关键后卫路易斯·佩雷斯肯定无法上场。主力中场基克和主力前锋瓜迪奥拉都不确定。这场比赛加的斯没有新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。

显然，加的斯本赛季的开局可能是最差的——他们输掉了所有的5场比赛，甚至连一个球都没进，但他们面对的对手比巴拉多里德(巴萨、社会和毕尔巴鄂)更强，根据预期进球数模型，他们应该进2.34球。

到目前为止，瓦拉多利德看起来并不令人信服——5场比赛只赢了一场，进球数达到3:10。他们在上一场主场对阵阿尔梅里亚的比赛中取得了90+3的进球，但自2019年以来，他们没有在西甲主场取得两连胜。

加的斯教练塞尔吉奥·冈萨雷斯从2018年4月到2021年5月执教巴拉多利德，所以他非常了解今天的对手，这对客人来说是巨大的优势，毫无疑问。

重要数据:皇马瓦拉多利德在上周五的21场联赛中有20场没有赢球(!)，所以我很高兴今天也能和他们比赛。