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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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5/5 now and 19/15 in Ligue 1!

2022-09-16

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期六2022-09-17 03:00

解读理由

In my opinion Auxerre have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


Auxerre lost only 1 of last 16 matches in Ligue 1 against Lorient! Auxerre home streak against them in Ligue 1 looks perfect as they didn't lost in last 8 consecutive matches! I believe they are able to continue this run today and home ground will make big difference.


Of course, Auxerre lost last 3 league matches in a row, but they played against European Cups spot contenders: Rennes, Marseille and Lyon. Now Auxerre back to Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps and wants to perform well front of home crowd. They didn't lost in first two matches at home against Angers and Strasbourg and they have all required tools to make some points also today. If You look on the bigger picture Auxerre is very solid at home - they lost only once in last 9 home matches in all competitions, against strong Marseille so no shame at all.


Lorient have excellent start of the season - 5 wins in 7 matches, but 3 of those wins came at home. According to the expected goals scored model they not deserved for such good results as they scored already 14 goals, but according to the model they should score 10.8. At this stage of the season, it's already big difference.


In season 2019/2020 Lorient won in only one of 19 away league matches! In season 2020/2021 Lorient won in only two of 19 away league matches! On those circumstances I don't see them as a fav against Auxerre where they have very poor record.


本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,欧塞尔有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

欧塞尔在法甲的16场比赛中只输了1场对阵洛里昂!欧塞尔在法甲主场对阵他们的连胜看起来很完美,因为他们在过去的8场比赛中都没有输过!我相信他们今天能够继续这样的势头,主场将会有很大的不同。

当然,欧塞尔在最近的三场联赛中都输了,但他们的对手是欧洲杯赛的竞争者:雷恩、马赛和里昂。现在欧塞尔回到了德尚神甫球场,希望在主场球迷面前表现出色。他们在前两场主场对阵昂热和斯特拉斯堡的比赛中都没有输球,今天他们也需要一些工具来取得一些分数。如果你从大局上看,欧塞尔在主场非常稳固——他们在最近9场所有赛事的主场比赛中只输了一场,对手是强大的马赛,所以一点都不丢脸。

洛里昂本赛季开局不错,7场5胜,但其中3胜是在主场取得的。根据预期进球数模型,他们不应该得到这么好的成绩,因为他们已经进了14个球,但根据模型,他们应该得到10.8分。在赛季的这个阶段,差距已经很大了。

2019/2020赛季洛里昂在19场客场比赛中只赢了一场!2020/2021赛季,洛里昂在19场客场比赛中只赢了2场!在这种情况下,我不认为他们是对阵欧塞尔的热门球队,因为他们的记录非常糟糕。

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