In my opinion Hertha have bigger chances to avoid loss in today's match up than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Hertha coach Sandro Schwartz he played 9 years for Mainz at senior level and sitted on their bench as a first team coach between summer 2017 and October 2019. He knows today's opponents very well and in my opinion this is huge advantage for guests which is not fully adjusted in odds.

Mainz today have squad problems - their key central defender Hack (played in all 6 matches so far) is unavailable, same as important winger Burkardt (4 matches). Best player (according to the ratings) midfielder Stach (5 matches) is very doubtful for this game.

Mainz in last 3 matches won only once - against Gladbach on away, but that wasn't deserved win at all: expected goals scored for Gladbach 1.16, for Mainz 0.65. They are not in great form - they lost 2 of last 3 matches and both losses were with big margins - 0:3 at home against Leverkusen and 1:4 on away against Hoffenheim in last round. Confidence for sure is not on the highest possible level and hard to imagine clean sheet for them today, especially without Hack. Hertha loves to play from counter attacks - already scored 3 goals from counters (highest number in whole league).

Mainz is favorite here and they are under pressure - so far they failed to win at home twice and they even not scored one goal. Their top scorer Onisiwio (3 goals) failed to score in last 3 consecutive matches so that not looking promising before today's game.

Hertha is on good wave now. They recorded fully deserved 2:0 win on away against Augsburg (expected goals scored for Hertha 2.10, for Augsburg 0.41). In last round they stopped Leverkusen at home (draw after good match): expected goals scored for Hertha 1.94, for Leverkusen 1.33. Morale in team for sure is good and there is big motivation to go with momentum today.

I believe Hertha is able to make at least one point today. Odds are excellent.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，赫塔在今天的比赛中避免失利的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

赫塔队教练桑德罗·施瓦茨，他在美因茨青年队效力了9年，并在2017年夏天至2019年10月期间作为一线队教练坐在板凳上。他非常了解今天的对手，在我看来，这对客人来说是巨大的优势，这还没有完全调整好胜率。

美因茨今天的阵容出现了问题——他们的关键中卫哈克(到目前为止参加了全部6场比赛)无法上场，重要的边锋博尔德特(4场比赛)也是如此。最佳球员(根据收视率)中场斯塔赫(5场比赛)在本场比赛中表现不佳。

美因茨在过去3场比赛中只赢了一场——客场对阵格拉德巴赫，但那根本不是值得的胜利:格拉德巴赫的预期进球数为1.16，美因茨的预期进球数为0.65。他们状态不是很好——最近3场比赛他们输了2场，而且两场都输了很大的比分——上一轮主场0:3对阵勒沃库森，客场1:4对阵霍芬海姆。信心肯定不在最高的水平，很难想象他们今天不失球，特别是没有哈克。赫塔喜欢反击，他们已经在反击中打进了3球(这是整个联赛中最多的进球)。

美因茨在这里是最受欢迎的球队，他们面临着压力——到目前为止，他们在主场两次失利，甚至一球未进。他们的头号射手奥尼西维奥(3球)在最近连续3场比赛中都没有进球，所以在今天的比赛之前看起来并不乐观。

赫塔现在状态很好。他们在客场2:0大胜奥格斯堡(赫塔预期进球数为2.10，奥格斯堡预期进球数为0.41)。在上一轮比赛中，他们在主场击败了勒沃库森(出色的比赛后打平):赫塔的预期进球数为1.94，勒沃库森为1.33。团队的士气肯定是很好的，今天有很大的动力继续前进。

我相信赫塔今天至少能说明一点。几率是优秀的。