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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will make difference today? 5/5

2022-09-16

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2022-09-17 03:00

解读理由

In my opinion Fulham have really good chances to make positive result in today's match up. I simply don't see their loss here so +0 AH looks like very safe bet to play.


For sure Fulham coming for this game without any fear as they won last 3 consecutive matches at this stadium. In previous season of Championship Fulham won here 4:0 - Mitrovic scored 2 goals, also today he will be very hard to stop.


It's special day for Mitrovic - he have birthday today. He scored in last 4 matches in a row, he is in form of his life - if You looks on the bigger picture, his consistency also looks amazing - 49 goals in last 49 league matches. He should be able to make a lot of damages for Nottingham defensive formation. Hosts are without confidence - they lost last 3 consecutive matches and last round match against poor Bournemouth at home for sure was very painful as they lost 2:3 from 2:0 up.. Nottingham at the back don't have stability - in 6 matches their opponents already had more than 100 (!) shots (42 on goal). For me is extremely hard to imagine clean sheet for hosts here. Fulham scoring 1.5 goals per game and is able to even improve this statistic.


On the other hand Fulham new goalkeeper Bernd Leno in superb form, he is second-best player in the team. He made 19 saves in last 4 matches, according to the expected goals conceded model he helped team to avoid 2 goals more. Nottingham in 4 of 6 matches so far had expected goals scored number below 1.00. I don't see easy goals for them also today.


Fulham deserve to be bigger favorite in this game. Later I expect drops in odds here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,富勒姆有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得积极的结果。我没有看到他们的损失,所以+ 0ah看起来是一个很安全的赌注。

毫无疑问,富勒姆将毫无畏惧地迎接这场比赛,因为他们在这个球场赢得了过去的3连胜。在上个赛季的英冠富勒姆在这里4:0取胜-米特罗维奇打进2球,今天他也将非常难以阻挡。

今天对米特罗维奇来说是个特别的日子,他今天过生日。他在最近的4场比赛中连续进球,这是他的状态——如果尤从更大的角度来看,他的稳定性看起来也很惊人——在最近的49场联赛中打进49球。他应该能给诺丁汉的防守阵型带来很大的破坏。东道主没有信心——他们最近连续输了3场比赛,上一轮在主场对阵可怜的伯恩茅斯的比赛肯定非常痛苦,他们在2:0领先的情况下以2:3输掉了比赛。诺丁汉的后防线不稳定——在6场比赛中,他们的对手已经有超过100次射门(42次射正)。对我来说,很难想象东道主不失球。富勒姆场均进球数为1.5个,这一数据甚至还能提高。

另一方面,富勒姆的新门将bernnd Leno状态极佳,他是球队第二优秀的球员。在过去的4场比赛中,他做出了19次扑救,根据失球预期模型,他帮助球队多避免了2球。到目前为止,诺丁汉在6场比赛中有4场的进球数低于1.00。我认为他们今天的目标也不容易实现。

富勒姆应该在这场比赛中更受欢迎。稍后我估计赔率会下降。

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