Monaco VS Ferencvaros

Monaco and Ferencvaros lock horns in this UEFA Europa League group stage round 2 at Stade Louis II early Friday Beijing time. This is the second-highest of UEFA’s club competitions after Champions League. The hosts come from the very small city state of Monaco and play in French Ligue 1. The visitors are reigning champions of Hungary. There is a massive difference in pure class between the teams and I am surprised to see odds this high offered on the betting market – especially in handicap betting. We must take advantage of this! Monaco have a 58% chance of winning by at least two goals’ margin bringing my fans and me the 8th winner in a row. The chance of the hosts winning is quite close to 80%. The hosts are superior in all areas of the game, but the biggest difference is definitely in defensive quality. The Hungarian side have rarely been able to keep a clean sheet even against pretty lowly teams Champions League and Europa League qualification games – especially away from home. In fact, the last time they succeeded in this (away from home) was on the 6th of July against a pretty bad team Tobol from Kazakhstan – the final score was 0-0. On the 18th of August they did avoid conceding a goal against a weak team at this level – Irish Shamrock Rovers defeating them 4-0 at home. In my view Ferencvaros’s defenders, defensive midfielders and the goalkeeper are simply not skilled enough for this level. Their defensive structure is also not solid enough to stop a team of Monaco’s caliber who have massive offensive power. They have not met nearly as good as Monaco for a long time so the tempo and the opponents' skill-level will be hard to match for them here. At home, in front of extremely loud fans they are, however a dangerous team and have sometimes defeated pretty big teams in the past. Monaco’s fans are not super-loud, but the home advantage is still substantial in UEFA’s European club competitions!

We must remember that the French Ligue 1 is the 5th best league in the world and the level is massively better than that of the Hungarian OTP Bank Liga. Monaco finished third last season after the dominant and one of the richest clubs in on the planet and another big team Marseille. The gap between Marseille and Monaco was just two points. The odds here are perhaps affected by Monaco’s slightly disappointing start to the season Ligue 1 season but I would not be too worried. They have played pretty well in most games and have improved since to slow start to the season. In their most recent match, they defeated a very good team Lyon at home 2-1. Before this they took all three points in Belgrade against Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) through a 1-0 win. This is an extremely hard place to take points in so Monaco can be proud of their achievement! A few years ago, Crvena Zvezda even beat the eventual Champions League winners Liverpool at home in Champions League. The match was a balanced one but Monaco proved their class and as whole defended very well. Ferenvaros, on the other hand, beat Kisvarda 3-0 at home in their most recent match but the match was much more balanced than the final score would indicate. The hosts recorded only 53% ball possession and a little more shots on target and scoring attempts. Kisvarda, quite surprisingly, even created more attacks and dangerous attacks!

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摩纳哥VS Ferencvaros

北京时间5日凌晨，摩纳哥和费伦茨瓦罗斯在路易二世球场进行欧联杯小组赛第二轮比赛。这是继欧冠之后欧足联第二高的俱乐部赛事。东道主来自一个非常小的城市国家摩纳哥，在法甲踢球。客队是匈牙利的卫冕冠军。两支队伍在纯级别上存在巨大差异，我很惊讶在博彩市场上看到如此高的赔率——特别是在障碍博彩上。我们必须利用这一点!摩纳哥有58%的机会以至少两球的优势获胜，让我的球迷和我成为连续第8个冠军。东道主获胜的几率接近80%。东道主在比赛的各个方面都很出色，但最大的区别肯定是在防守质量上。匈牙利队很少能在欧冠和欧联杯资格赛对阵实力较弱的球队时保持零封，尤其是在客场。事实上，他们上一次取得这样的胜利(在客场)还是在7月6日对阵哈萨克斯坦的托博尔队——最终比分是0-0。在8月18日的比赛中，他们在面对一支实力较弱的球队时避免了失球——爱尔兰三叶草流浪者在主场4-0击败了他们。在我看来，费伦茨瓦罗斯的后卫、防守型中场和门将的技术还不足以达到这个水平。他们的防守结构也不够稳固，无法阻挡像摩纳哥这样进攻力量强大的球队。他们已经很长一段时间没有遇到过和摩纳哥一样好的球队了，所以他们在这里的节奏和对手的技术水平将很难与之匹敌。在主场，面对喧闹的球迷，他们是一支危险的球队，过去他们有时会击败一些强队。摩纳哥的球迷并不超级吵闹，但在欧足联的欧洲俱乐部比赛中，他们的主场优势仍然非常明显!

我们必须记住，法甲是世界上第五大联赛，水平比匈牙利OTP银行西甲要好得多。摩纳哥上赛季排名第三，排名第二的是世界上最富有的俱乐部之一和另一支豪门马赛。马赛和摩纳哥之间的差距仅为两分。摩纳哥在法甲赛季的开局有些令人失望，这可能会影响赔率，但我不会太担心。他们在大多数比赛中都踢得很好，自从赛季开始缓慢以来，他们已经有了进步。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以2比1击败了非常优秀的里昂队。在此之前，他们在贝尔格莱德1-0击败贝尔格莱德红星队获得了全部三分。这是一个非常难拿分的地方，所以摩纳哥可以为他们的成就感到骄傲!几年前，茨维兹达甚至在欧冠主场击败了最终的欧冠冠军利物浦。这是一场势均力敌的比赛，但摩纳哥证明了他们的水平，整个防守非常出色。另一方面，费伦瓦罗斯在最近的一场比赛中主场3-0击败了基斯瓦尔达，但这场比赛比最终比分显示的要平衡得多。东道主的控球率只有53%，射正率和射门次数略多。令人惊讶的是，基斯瓦尔达甚至制造了更多的攻击和危险的攻击!