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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A fine match to bet on in Norway! 挪甲 康斯文格vsKFUM奥斯陆

2022-09-12

比赛分析

挪甲

已完赛

星期二2022-09-13 00:00

解读理由

Kongsvinger VS KFUM Oslo


Kongsvinger welcome visitors from the capital of Norway for this OBOS-Ligaen round 24 clash at Gjemselund Stadion. This is the second-highest level of Norwegian football, and the level is not that great.. For entertainment I recommend my fans to watch other leagues however I have once again spotted a lucrative match to bet on! The bookies see the visitors as solid favorites here which is impossible for to agree on. I have a pretty good idea on what this is probably mainly based on – KFUM Oslo are in a five-match winning streak and have, as a result, climbed up the standings in recent weeks. They currently occupy the second place in the standings and have a respectable 44 points to their account and a good goal difference of 48:34. This is not a very good for a team in the second place.. Indeed, for example Stabaek in the third place have scored 45 goals but have allowed just 24. KFUM Oslo have been lucky this season in terms of expected goals scored and expected points. Both are statistical tools commonly used by professional football bettors to identify under- or over-valued teams in an attempt to find promising matches to bet on. The visitors would have deserved four points less than the 44 this season. I rate KFUM Oslo as the 4th best team in this league in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ pure class. Their defense is too shaky in my view to take a top-3 position at the end of the season.

Kongsvinger currently have 33 points to their account and occupy the 8th place with 33 points and a goal difference of 33:29. Indeed, they do not have as much offensive power as the visitors but their defense is more solid. I would not say their defenders and the goalkeeper are significantly better than the visitors’, but their defensive structure is definitely better. The home advantage on average in this league is not as big as in many other European leagues but Kongsvinger have been very good at their stadium. I expect a big boost for them from the fans here as well – they have lost just two matches at home this season and have score two goals on average in front of their fans. By pure class Kongsvinger are definitely better than Raufoss currently in the 7th place and I expect the hosts to topple them and finish in 7th place. Yes, the visitors are slightly stronger by pure class but at Gjemselund Stadion the hosts are narrow favorites in my opinion. With the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option my fans and I have a 66% chance of winning. We must remember that the hosts are in fine form as well losing just one of their latest seven matches. In their most recent game, they were very efficient offensively and crushed Stjordals Blink 4-1 away from home. Before this they faced Stabaek at home and lost 0-1 as very clear underdogs according to the betting market. Stabaek were the better team, but a draw would not have been unjustified either.. Stabaek defended extremely well in this match, but I do not think KFUM Oslo can get even close to their level defensively here. Let’s also not forget that Stabaek are a very strong team with a score difference of 45:24. The visitors beat Mjondalen 3-0 at home in their most recent match as clear favorites, but the final score is very misleading. KFUM only had three shots on target and Mjondalen recorded 56% ball possession and also had more attacks and dangerous attacks!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我再次发现了一个有利可图的比赛打赌!博彩公司将客队视为最受欢迎的球队,这是不可能达成一致的。我很清楚这可能主要基于什么——KFUM Oslo在最近几周取得了五连胜,因此排名攀升。他们目前在积分榜上排名第二,有可观的44分和48:34的净胜球。这对处于第二名的球队来说不是很好。事实上,以第三名的斯塔贝克为例,他进了45个球,但只丢了24个球。在本赛季的预期进球数和预期积分方面,奥斯陆KFUM是幸运的。两者都是职业足球投注者常用的统计工具,用来识别估值过低或过高的球队,以便找到有希望的比赛进行押注。客队本赛季应该比44分少得4分。我认为奥斯陆KFUM在我的实力评分中排名联盟第4,这说明了这支球队的纯实力。在我看来,他们的防守太不稳定了,赛季结束后无法进入前三。

康斯文格目前已经积了33分,并以33分和33:29的净胜球排名第8。事实上,他们没有客队那么强大的进攻力量,但他们的防守更稳固。我不会说他们的后卫和门将明显比客队更好,但他们的防守结构肯定更好。这个联赛的主场优势并不像其他欧洲联赛那么大,但孔斯文格在他们的球场表现非常出色。我希望他们也能从这里的球迷那里得到很大的提升——他们本赛季在主场只输了两场比赛,在球迷面前平均打进两球。就纯水平而言,孔斯文格肯定比目前排名第七的劳弗斯更好,我希望东道主能推翻他们,以第7名的成绩结束比赛。是的,客队在纯实力上略强一些,但在Gjemselund球场,我认为东道主是少数人的最爱。有了推荐的+0.5个目标障碍选项,我和我的球迷有66%的机会获胜。我们必须记住,东道主在最近七场比赛中只输了一场,但他们的状态很好。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们的进攻效率非常高,在客场4-1击败了Stjordals Blink。在此之前,他们在主场面对斯塔贝克,根据博彩市场,他们以0-1的比分输掉了比赛。Stabaek是更好的球队,但平局也不是不合理的。斯塔贝克在这场比赛中防守非常好,但我不认为KFUM奥斯陆能在这里接近他们的防守水平。我们也不要忘记史塔贝克是一支非常强大的球队,他们的比分是45:24。在最近的一场比赛中,客队主场3-0击败了姆琼达伦,显然是夺冠热门,但最终的比分很容易让人产生误解。KFUM只有三次射正,Mjondalen有56%的控球率,并且有更多的进攻和危险的进攻!

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