It would be a simple and understandable instinct to pick Sevilla to win here as they are a good team in good form, but when scratching the surface there is a lot more. For example the fact that out of last 15 visits to El Sadar Sevilla have won 3 times.

The local media expects these lineups: a recovery of two strikers to Osasuna and return of Brasanac to the bench at the hosts, Sevilla unchanged since last round, but in middle of tough Champion's league games v Dortmund.

选择塞维利亚在这里获胜是一种简单和可以理解的本能，因为他们是一支处于良好状态的好球队，但如果只看表面，就会发现更多的东西。例如，在过去15次塞维利亚客场挑战奥萨苏纳的比赛中，塞维利亚只赢了3次。

当地媒体期待着这样的阵容:两名前锋回到奥萨苏纳，布拉萨纳克回到主队的替补席，塞维利亚和上一轮没有变化，但因为周中和多特交手，球员比较疲惫。

The Osasuna form has also recovered from November - December when they went 11 rounds without a win. It has changed into a form with only two losses in last 10 games, and both of those came away from home. El Sadar is a fortress again!

奥萨苏纳的状态也从去年11月到12月的11场比赛中恢复了过来。在过去的10场比赛中，他们只输了2场，而且都是客场比赛。埃尔·萨达又成了球队的堡垒!

The expected goal data suggests they should have a few points more in the table and further away from relegation battle, and lately they have outplayed all opponents at home, including Real Madrid!

Sevilla of course have been on fire in La Liga, and some of the matches recently have been their best ones this season.

预期的进球数据表明，他们应该在积分榜上多得几分，远离保级之战，最近他们在主场保持不败，包括皇家马德里!

当然，塞维利亚在西甲的表现非常抢手，最近的一些比赛是他们本赛季最好的比赛。

Yet it is worth noticing that ther last 5 opponents all have been relegation candidates with worries of their own, and the wins over Alaves and Huesca have been lucky ones, and their latest trip to the North resulted in a flattering scoreline in Eibar.

Can they really be 50% likelihood winners when they have a double fixture with Barcelona and the 2nd leg away at Dortmund to think about? Already the home match back in November was a tight one, they won 1-0 with a goal by Ocampos, perhaps their most important player who is still injured today.

The Dortmund match showed a lot of Sevilla weaknesses which for sure are not unnoticed by Osasuna coach Arrasate. Upfront En-Nesyri has been overperforming just like Suarez at Atletico and his goal threat has dried up, Rakitic was one of the worst players in midfield last time, Navas is probably rotated today and I am not a fan of Vidal as right back... this should be a tight affair, and Osasuna are more fired up to this.

Home win, or at least a draw!

然而值得注意的是，最近的5个对手都有降级的可能，他们自己也很担心，战胜阿拉维斯和韦斯卡是幸运的，在最近一个客场中小胜埃瓦尔。

他们真的有50%的胜率吗?当他们面对巴塞罗那和第二回合对阵多特蒙德的比赛时?早在11月的主场比赛就已经是一场势均力敌的比赛了，他们1-0获胜，奥坎波斯打进一球，他可能是他们最重要的球员，至今仍在受伤。

对多特蒙德的比赛显示了塞维利亚的许多弱点，奥萨苏纳的主教练阿拉斯特肯定注意到了这些弱点。前锋恩-内西里表现得很好，就像苏亚雷斯在马竞的表现一样，他的进球威胁已经消失了，拉基蒂奇是上次最糟糕的中场球员之一，纳瓦斯今天可能轮换了，我不喜欢维达尔做右后卫……这应该是一件很紧张的事情，奥萨苏纳更愿意这样做。

主队获胜，或者至少是平局!