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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Easy win for favorite today or no?! 荷甲阿尔克马尔VS奈梅亨

2022-09-01

比赛分析

荷甲

已完赛

星期五2022-09-02 02:00

解读理由

In my opinion Alkmaar is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win today.

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. Alkmaar finished previous season in top5 and they didn't sold their best players like Karlsson or Pavlidis. Nijmegen finished previous season in bottom half of the table and that was good for them. Unfortunately, their best scorer and best assistant from previous season Jonathan Okita left the club. That should be visible in long-term.

So far in current season Alkmaar showed good potential at the back - they kept two clean sheets in 3 matches and in each game their opponents had expected goals scored number below 1.01. On the other hand Nijmegen conceded at least one goal in all three matches so far. I don't see problems with goalscoring for Alkmaar as they more than one goal in 5 of last 6 matches in all competitions (Eredivisie + Conference League).

Alkmaar also coming here with good mental advantage as they won last match between both teams in March at Nijmegen stadium 3:1. Alkmaar should be able to control middle zone without big problems as they are one of the best team with the ball in whole league (64% average ball possession, 487 accurate passes per game), Nijmegen is much worse in that department (48.8%, 303). Because of that I see many opportunities to score for hosts and routine win at the end of the day.


在我看来,阿尔克马尔显然是今天比赛的热门,他们今天应该能够轻松取胜。

我看到两支球队在实力、雄心和潜力方面存在很大差异。阿尔克马尔在上个赛季进入前五,他们并没有卖掉他们最好的球员,比如卡尔森或帕夫利迪斯。奈梅亨在上个赛季排名垫底,这对他们来说是件好事。不幸的是,他们上赛季的最佳射手和最佳助手乔纳森冲田离开了俱乐部。从长远来看,这应该是可见的。

到目前为止,阿尔克马尔在本赛季的后防线上表现出了很好的潜力——他们在 3 场比赛中保持了 2 次不失球,并且在每场比赛中,他们的对手预计进球数都低于 1.01。另一方面,奈梅亨到目前为止在所有三场比赛中都至少丢了一个球。我认为阿尔克马尔的进球没有问题,因为他们在所有比赛(荷甲 + 联盟联赛)的最后 6 场比赛中有 5 场进球超过 1 个。

阿尔克马尔也带着良好的心理优势,因为他们在三月份在奈梅亨体育场以 3:1 赢得了两支球队之间的最后一场比赛。阿尔克马尔应该能够毫无问题地控制中路,因为他们是整个联盟中控球最好的球队之一(平均控球率 64%,每场比赛准确传球 487 次),奈梅亨在那个部门要差得多(48.8%, 303)。因此,我预测主队可以获胜。

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