Rodez VS Metz

Rodez host Metz for this Ligue clash at Stade Paul-Lignon in Rodez early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of French football and is of much than the Ligue 1. An extremely balanced match is on the cards here and I cannot agree with the betting market – the visitors being solid favorites. In fact, in my opinion there is no favorite in this match at all – it is a coin toss (50-50%) A draw would certainly not be a surprise in this relatively low-scoring league. The probability of this result is 32% in my opinion and a draw would be enough for my fans me to win the +0.5 goals handicap bet on Rodez. The chance of winning is 66%. The visitors were relegated from Ligue 1 for this season, and I do not expect on easy campaign for them this year. They played a very weak last season and grabbed 31 points and had an abysmal goal difference of 35:59 and finished second-last. The team had quite a of internal issues and turbulance and I would not be surprised to see something similar this year too.. By historical past, financial resources and players’ total market value according to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com. Metz’s squad’s total market value is 50.15 million euros which is way too high. At least four players are over-valued. The realistic value would be perhaps 34-45 million. Bookies and bettors alike pay more and more attention to these numbers, but they can sometimes be misleading as well. However, in the bigger picture the squad’s market value is a good indicator on a team’s level on the pitch as the football market is a global one. However, if two players are equally good and one is 23 years old and the other is 33 the younger guy is of course more valuable. Rodez’s squad is valued at only 12 million which is definitely too low. In this match one explanation for the visitors being over-valued is probably the players’ market value as well as Metz being much better known by name in the bettors’ minds.

The visitors are definitely the better team by raw class here – in all areas of the game. However, especially in terms of defensive quality the difference is pretty small. Home advantage overall is this league is very big in this is the case here as well despite Rodez winning just one of their most recent matches at their stadium. They currently have five points to their account and a goal difference of 4:6. Their defense is pretty solid but offensively they would need more creativity, a better structure and perhaps even a new striker.. They have improved from the slow start to the season and took a fine win against Bastia in their most recent match – 2-0 away from home as big underdogs according to the betting market. Before this they played an draw against Annecy and lost a very balanced match 0-1 away from home against Nimes. Metz, on the other hand were disappointing against Dijon last weak and lost 1-2 at home. before this Laval were the better team but it was a 3-3 draw. Metz have a lot of work to do if they want to even dream of being promoted back to the highest level.