Frosione vs Brescia

Frosione host Brescia for this Italian Serie B round 2 clash at Stadio Benito Stirpe early Monday morning Beijing time. A balanced and probably a pretty good by Serie B standards match is on the cards here. By raw class Brescia are definitely better in all areas of the game but the in my view only in defense the difference is significant. Brescia’s defender on average have a higher individual skill-level and the structure is also more solid.Even so, I cannot accept agree with the betting market here - Frosione being favorites. On the contrary I see Bresicia as slim favorites. Last season, Brescia finished in the finished much higher up in the standings, in 5th place with 66 points and had a very good goal difference of 55:35. The gap to Cremonese in the second place - a position that guaranteed them a direct promotion to Serie A - was just three points. I definitely expect another strong season from this team that has played many years in the first tier in the past. Frosione, on the other hand, finished in 9th place with 58 points and a goal difference of 58:45. They had quite a lot of problems with their defense in the last rounds of Serie B last season and I expect Brescia to find a way to score here – even several goals would not be massive surprise. Moreover, Frosione ended the season with two disappointing losses.

In the first round Frosione faced Modena away from home and grabbed a 1-0 win and did not look great offensively. I would say a draw would have been a justified result though. Indeed, Modena had 55% ball possession and more passes, completed passes and attacks. Frosione, on the other hand, recorded more scoring attempts, shots on target and dangerous attacks. Before this Frosione were quite weak and lost to Monza 2-3 away from home in a Coppa Italia game. Brescia, on the other hand, are in fine form and pretty comfortably beat Sudtirol in the first round 2-0. Before this they were excellent in Coppa Italia beating a dangerous team Pisa 4-1 way from home. They now have four straight win in all competitions and seem to have good flow. They also have good manager. My fans and I have on over 65% chance to win with the handicap bet on the visitors.