IFK Mariehamn VS Ilves

IFK Mariehamn (MIFK) vs Ilves

IFK Mariehamn welcome visitors from Tampere for this Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Wiklöf Holding Arena in Mariehamn late Sunday evening Beijing time. This has been – and will continue to be a great league for my fans to bet on. Yesterday the underdog, SJK, got the job done against KuPS who got an early red card winning 2-1 brining us a winner. Unfortunately VPS, despite being the better team on the pitch overall ended up losing to FC Lahti 2-3 at home. This means we have now won 10/12 of the latest bets on the highest tier of my home country’s football. Today my fans’ and my chance of winning is not sky-high - 57% - but the bet is a very lucrative one. Let’s take a closer look..

MIFK are a very strong team at their stadium and in MIFK’s case this is a factor that the betting market does not seem to give enough emphasis - perhaps because overall the home advantage in Veikkausliiga is lower than in most European leagues. MIFK have lost just two of their most recent ten matches at Wiklöf Holding Arena and only one during the 90 minutes as the loss in Finnish Cup against HIFK came through penalties. There are two main explanatory factors behind this record: First, the trip to Mariehamn, the capital city of Åland, an autonomous area (a group of islands) located between Finland and Sweden is often particularly long and energy-consuming. Second, the people of Åland love their team and the team gets amazing support from the fans - especially on week-end games in summer when the weather is mostly good. There is a very good vibe around and within the team at the moment. The people at the club’s office are working hard to give the team the best possible chance to compete. Indeed, they have acquired a few interesting new players lately. The latest arrival is Finnish national team player Albin Granlund,32, who has a long history with the club and is an excellent player for this level. By pure class the hosts are better of these two, despite the standings suggesting otherwise.

The two clubs have been going to opposite directions for over a month already. The hosts have improved a lot from the slow start to the season - especially offensively – more than the recent results would suggest. Ilves, on the other hand, are in steep decline and are without a win in six of their latest matches losing four of these. Quite weirdly the young team - with an average age of just 22.5 years seems to have run out of energy and their confidence is clearly very low. Their coach, Toni Kallio seems totally clueless amidst the crisis his team is in. Personally, I rate him as one of the worst coaches in Veikkausliiga. The biggest problem for Ilves had been the almost non-existent offensive football. Even purchasing a promising Swedish striker Adam Larsson from Ekenäs IF has not offered much help to this problem lately. Ilves’s offensive game is often too slow and lacks creativity and structure. Moreover, it has been very predictable which makes it easy for the opponent to defend successfully. Ilves have created shamefully low expected goals numbers in their most recent four games. They got completely in their most recent match against Honka at home. Indeed, Honka put immense pressure on Ilves’s defense right from the kickoff scoring in the 22th minute. Ilves’s Jäntti was sent in the first half and Honka cruised to 4-0 win. I am pretty sure Ilves would have lost even without the red card. Before this mediocre team VPS crushed them 3-0. MIFK, on the other hand, lost to KuPS in Kuopio last weekend but had their chances to perhaps take a draw. KuPS had just one more scoring chance and shot on target than the visitors. Let’s remember that KuPS are the second-best in this league and were massive favorites in this match. Before this MIFK were excellent beating one of the most in-form teams, Haka, 2-0 at home. They have also beaten the best team in this league, HJK, 2-1 at home earlier this summer! Let’s not forget that the mighty HJK are just one match apart from Europa League group phase after beating Silkeborg this Thursday 1-0.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周日晚，马里汉国际足球协会在马里汉Wiklöf Holding Arena举办了芬兰Veikkausliiga战役，欢迎来自坦佩雷的游客。对于我的球迷来说，这一直是——而且将继续是一个伟大的联盟。昨天，处于劣势的SJK在对阵被红牌早早罚下的KuPS时以2-1的比分获胜，为我们带来了胜利。不幸的是，尽管VPS在球场上表现更好，但最终还是在主场2-3输给了拉赫蒂。这意味着我们已经赢得了10/12的最新赌注，在我的祖国的最高级别的足球。今天，我和我的粉丝们的中奖几率并不是很高——57%——但是这个赌注是非常有利可图的。让我们仔细看看…

在他们的球场上，MIFK是一支非常强大的球队，而在MIFK的情况下，这是博彩市场似乎没有给予足够重视的一个因素——也许是因为总体上，维考斯利加的主场优势低于大多数欧洲联赛。MIFK最近在Wiklöf Holding Arena的10场比赛中只输了2场，在芬兰杯对阵HIFK的90分钟比赛中只输了1场。这一记录背后有两个主要的解释因素:首先，马里厄姆之旅(马里厄姆是Åland的首都，位于芬兰和瑞典之间的一个自治地区(一组岛屿))通常特别漫长和消耗能源。其次，Åland的人们热爱他们的球队，球队从球迷那里得到了惊人的支持——尤其是在夏天的周末比赛，天气通常很好。现在球队内部和周围的气氛都很好。俱乐部办公室的人正在努力工作，以给球队最好的竞争机会。事实上，他们最近获得了一些有趣的新玩家。最近来到这里的是32岁的芬兰国家队球员阿尔宾·格兰隆德，他在俱乐部有很长的历史，是这个级别的优秀球员。就纯粹的阶级而言，主持人比这两位要好，尽管排名表明情况并非如此。

这两家俱乐部在一个多月前就分道扬镳了。东道主从赛季的缓慢开局到现在已经有了很大的进步——尤其是在进攻端——比最近的结果显示的要多。另一方面，伊尔维斯的成绩急剧下降，最近的6场比赛没有赢球，输掉了其中的4场。奇怪的是，这支平均年龄只有22.5岁的年轻球队似乎已经耗尽了精力，他们的信心显然非常低。他们的教练托尼·卡利奥似乎对球队的危机毫无头绪。就我个人而言，我认为他是Veikkausliiga最差的教练之一。对伊尔维斯来说，最大的问题是几乎不存在的进攻足球。即使从Ekenäs IF购买了一名有前途的瑞典前锋亚当·拉尔森，最近也不能解决这个问题。伊尔维斯的进攻往往太慢，缺乏创造力和结构。此外，这是非常可预测的，这使对手很容易成功防守。在最近的四场比赛中，伊尔维斯创造了令人羞耻的低期望值。他们在最近一次主场对阵洪卡的比赛中完全输了。事实上，洪卡从第22分钟开球开始就给伊尔维斯的防守施加了巨大的压力。伊尔维斯的Jäntti在上半场被送出，Honka以4-0取胜。我敢肯定，即使没有那张红牌，伊尔维斯也会输掉比赛。在这支平庸的球队之前，VPS以3比0击败了他们。另一方面，MIFK上周末在库奥皮奥输给了KuPS，但他们有机会与对手打平。美国队只比客队多了一次进球机会，并且射正了。让我们记住，在这个联盟中是第二好的，在这场比赛中是非常受欢迎的。在此之前，MIFK在主场2-0击败了状态最好的球队之一哈卡。今年夏天早些时候，他们还在主场2-1击败了这个联赛中最好的球队HJK !让我们不要忘记强大的HJK与欧联杯小组赛仅差一场比赛，在本周四1-0击败西尔克堡。