How many goals they will score today? 本场比赛会有几粒进球?
2021-02-20
比赛分析
解读理由
It's a late call from me, but odds on Lazio raised too much and now I see very good value on hosts.
Lazio today with strong line up, all key players like Milinkovic-Savic, Luis Alberto or Immobile are available.
Lazio is on 7th place, but only 3 points behind place in Champions League. For sure their motivation is on the highest possible level. Sampdoria is in the middle of the table and looks like they will play for nothing in current season - no chance for European Cups and no stress about relegation.
In overall Lazio plays on much higher level than Sampa in current season - 52% average ball possession, Sampa only 43.6%. Lazio have 112 accurate passes more per game than Sampa. They should be able to control middle zone today. Lazio defensive formation as well is better - they kept 4 clean sheets more. Lazio as well have big advantage in offense - they are mucu more creative and they have one of the best striker in Serie A (Immobile).
Lazio have fantastic record at home against Sampdoria - they didn't lost at home against them in last 14 Serie A matches in a row (11 wins in the process). Lazio at the moment looks great at home as they won last 5 home games in a row. Their offensive power looks great - they already scored 19 goals in 2021. Ciro Immobile should be very dangerous today, he likes to play against Sampa - he scored 12 goals in last 13 matches against them.
I see Lazio as a much bigger favorite here. Good value in these odds.
拉齐奥今天有了强大的阵容,所有的关键球员,如米林科维奇-萨维奇,路易斯阿尔贝托或莫莫都能参赛。
拉齐奥排名第七,落后欧战区3分。当然,他们的动机是最高水平的。桑普多利亚正处于积分榜的中间位置,看起来他们在本赛季将会无利可图——没有机会参加欧战,也没有降级的压力。
从整体上看,拉齐奥在本赛季的表现远高于桑普——平均控球率为52%,桑帕仅为43.6%。拉齐奥场均有112次准确传球,比桑普多。他们今天应该可以控制中场了。拉齐奥的防守阵型也更好——他们保持了4场不失球。拉齐奥在进攻上也有很大的优势——他们更有创造力,而且他们拥有意甲最好的前锋之一(不能移动)。
拉齐奥在主场对阵桑普多利亚的比赛中有着惊人的战绩——他们在过去的14场意甲比赛中没有在主场输给过桑普多利亚(11胜)。拉齐奥现在在主场看起来很棒,他们已经连续5场主场获胜。他们的进攻能力看起来很棒——他们在2021年已经进了19个球。因莫比莱今天应该是非常危险的,他喜欢对阵桑普,他在过去13场对阵桑普的比赛中打进12球。
我认为拉齐奥在这里更受欢迎。这样的机会很有价值。
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