VPS vs Lahti

VPS host Lahti at Elisa Stadion in Vaasa for this Finnish Veikkausliiga clash. This is the highest tier of my home countries football and is not of very high-quality by international standards. It is, however, a very good league to bet on for me fans and me. The situation is pretty clear here: VPS are the better team in all areas of the game and are clear favorites to win. The home advantage is Veikkausliiga is not as high as many top European leagues but in Vaasa the local people are excited about their team. VPS were promoted to Veikkausliiga for this season and there is a positive vibe within and around the team. Moreover, it is a week-end match and the weather is fine so a decent number of fans is expected at the stadium. The bus trip from Lahti to Vaasa is also long – around 6h hours – this is not ideal for the visitors. The biggest difference between the teams is in offense. VPS have much better strikers and offensive structure. They currently occupy the 8th place in the standings but still have a chance to make it to the Champions Group where the top 6 teams play. They now have 21 points to their account but in terms of expected points and goals conceded they have been clearly unlucky and would have deserved 3 more points. Both statistics are commonly used by professional football bettors to identify under – or over-valued teams in an attempt to find lucrative matches to be on. VPS are in the 7th place in my power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class. VPS have scored a whopping 36 goals so far – the second-highest number in this league. Lahti have netted the ball just 16 times and have only 14 points and are the second-last team in the standings. This is also their place in my power rating.

Lahti were very disappointing in their most recent match against HIFK at home and it was a goalless draw. They did record more in goal attempts and scoring chances but still only created only slightly more in expected goals than HIFK despite playing with a one-man advantage for over 45 minutes. Before this they were okay against declining Ilves and it was a 1-1 draw at home. Furthermore, before these two matches they got beaten by SJK 1-3 at home despite the visitors resting several key players. Moreover, Honka crushed them 5-0 on the 15th of July and Lahti have not won a match for a long time. VPS were okay in their most recent match as clear underdogs in Turku against Inter and defended a 1-1 draw. Before this they were excellent crushing Ilves 3-0 at home. VPS do have quite a few missing players today, but I believe the betting market has over-reacted to this factor.

VPS 瓦萨的 Elisa Stadion 主持 Lahti 参加芬兰 Veikkausliiga 比赛。这是芬兰最高级别的比赛，按国际标准衡量，它的实力不是很强。然而，对于我的球迷和我来说，这是一个非常好的联赛。这里的情况很清楚：VPS 在游戏的所有领域都是更好的团队，并且显然是获胜的最爱。主场优势是 Veikkausliiga 没有许多欧洲顶级联赛那么高，但在瓦萨，当地人对他们的球队感到兴奋。 VPS 在本赛季被提升为 Veikkausliiga，团队内部和周围都有积极的氛围。此外，这是一场周末比赛，天气晴朗，因此预计体育场内会有相当数量的球迷。从拉赫蒂到瓦萨的巴士行程也很长——大约需要 6 小时——这对游客来说并不理想。球队之间最大的区别在于进攻。 VPS有更好的前锋和进攻结构。他们目前位居第 8 位积分榜，但仍有机会进入前 6 名球队参加的冠军组。他们现在有 21 分，但就预期得分和失球而言，他们显然很不走运，应该再得到 3 分。职业足球博彩玩家通常使用这两种统计数据来识别被低估或被高估的球队，以试图找到有利可图的比赛。 VPS 在我的功率等级中排在第 7 位，这说明了团队的纯等级。到目前为止，VPS 已经打进了惊人的 36 个进球——在这个联盟中排名第二。拉赫蒂只进了 16 球，只得到 14 分，是积分榜倒数第二的球队。这也是他们在我的额定功率中的位置。

拉赫蒂最近在主场对阵 HIFK 的比赛非常令人失望，这是一场没有进球的平局。他们确实记录了更多的进球尝试和得分机会，但尽管与 HIFK单人优势超过 45 分钟。在此之前，他们对下降的伊尔维斯还可以，并且在主场以1-1战平。此外，尽管客队休息了几名关键球员，但在这两场比赛之前，他们在主场以1-3被SJK击败。此外，洪卡在 7 月 15 日以 5-0 击败了他们，而拉赫蒂已经很长时间没有赢得比赛了。 VPS 在最近的比赛中表现不错，在图尔库对阵国际米兰的比赛中明显处于劣势，并以 1-1 平局卫冕。在此之前，他们在主场以3-0击败了伊尔维斯，表现出色。 VPS 今天确实有不少玩家失踪，但我相信市场对这个因素反应过度。