Drogheda United VS Derry City

Drogheha welcome Derry City for this Irish Premier Division round 28 clash at Head in the Game Park Drogheda for early Saturday morning Beijing time. This league is not of very high quality by European standards but often offers lucrative betting opportunities for clever bettors! The situation is very clear here. Derry are the better team here in all areas of the game and have a 53% chance of winning. However, I expect the hosts to put up a great fight in front of their fans and them losing by more than one goal’s difference is unlikely! The chance of my fans and me winning once again betting on this league is 72%. Drogheda do have good fans the home advantage here is substantial. Indeed, they have lost just one of their most recent eight home games and even this match was a balanced one, but Drogheda took all three points through a 1-0 win.

In their most recent match Drogheda took a fully deserved win against much-improved Shelbourne 3-1 at home. The expected goals numbers in this match were 2.23- 0.97. The hosts recorded more scoring attempts, shots on target, passes, completed passes and dangerous passes. Before this they were, I must say disappointing away from home against a lowly team Finn Harps who beat them 3-0. Even so, Finn Harps were solid favorites in this match on the betting market and the final score is very misleading as Drogheda in fact created a little more than the hosts in expected goals. They also recorded more scoring attempts, passes, completed passes and dangerous passes. This loss is the only defeat they have suffered in their most recent five matches! They currently occupy the 8th place in the standings with a total of 30 points, but I rate them as the 7th best team in this league in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ pure class. Derry City, in third place, are also in good form and are unbeaten in their latest five matches. However, one of these matches was a friendly against a very small team Institute from Northern Ireland. Furthermore, on the 30th they beat a very bad team Oliver Bond in a FAI Cup match. They have not been very convincing offensively lately against proper opposition and would have to improve to take a clear win here!