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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on!

2022-08-20

比赛分析

爱超

已完赛

星期六2022-08-20 02:45

解读理由

Shelbourne VS Bohemians


Shelbourne welcome Bohemians for this Irish Premier Division round 28 clash at Tolka Park in Dublin for early Saturday morning Beijing time. This league is not of very high level by global standards but often offers lucrative betting opportunities for the smart bettor! A quite balanced match is on the cards and the biggest, sharpest bookies see this more or less as a coin toss (50-50%) at the time of writing this analysis at least. Odds are of course moving as the kickoff approaches.. I see the visitors as the favorites – not by a wide margin. The chance of my fans me winning again with the handicap bet on the visitors is 72%. A draw would certainly not be a surprise here and I believe both teams would be somewhat satisfied with this result.. Bohemians often play pretty defensive – even cautious football away from home against all other teams except for the two bottom teams UC Dublin and Finn Harps. The latest two pretty high-scoring matches do not change this fact. Shelbourne, on the other hand are quite limited offensively and have scored just 24 goals. Their defense is pretty solid though and they take most of their points through well-structured defense and often aim at scoring on counterattacks.

Shelbourne were promoted to the highest level for this season but are still a very small team by financial resources even by Irish standards and do not have any stars in the squad. They have improved during the latter part of the season and can now handle the higher tempo than in First Division much better than early season. I have, as a result raised their power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class, but the betting market seems to be too have gotten too excited about them and they are over-valued here. They do not have a huge crowd normally bosting them and their fans are not very enthusiastic, so the home advantage is not very big here. They have, in fact won just four of their 11 home games and the home score difference is bad 11:16. Shebourne were very bad in their most recent match against Drogheda away from home and lost 1-3. Quite weirdly Shelbourne were even clear favorites in this clash on the betting market. Drogheda had 54% ball possession and recorded more scoring attempts, shots on target, completed passes and especially dangerous attacks (59-33). Before this they took three winds but all the opponents Bray (in a cup match) UC Dublin and Finn Harps are quite weak teams and I was not too excited by their performances.. Bohemians are the better team here in all areas of the game but especially offensively. Their have lost two of their most recent matches against Sligo and Rovers but would have deserved a draw in both games. Let’s also remember that Dundalk are one of the strongest teams. The visitors are the 5th best team in my view in this league, but I expect Drogheda to topple Shelbourne and take the 7th place in the standings before the season ends.

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