REGENSBURG - KARLSRUHER

Given the recent impression of both teams, this game should be pretty even and +0.5 gives us some decent value on the away team.

Regensburg have had a great start to the season, but the truth is also that they actually have the second-weakest squad in BL2. They should actually almost never stand favorites against any team in this league. They are also rather good in destroying their opponent's game than at being active and creative themselves. For instance in their last home game (0:0 vs. Nurnberg), they only had two chances in the entire 90 minutes.

After a terrible start, Karlsruhe have absolutely turned thing things around lately. Last week, they turned a 1:2 into a 3:2 against a team from Sandhausen that has actually been in terrific form. 23-8 shots, 68-32% ball possession and 10-2 corners - It was a surprisingly strong performance by Karlsruhe that was rewarded late in the match. Also the game before was a respectable 1:1 at Furth when Karlsruhe allowed almost nothing defensively and could have even won. Their major problem so far in this season has been their weak defence. Yesterday they signed Ambrosious from Hamburg on a loan, however. I deem him a huge talent and a great central back for BL2. He has been out injured for longer but his quality is so high that I am sure he will be an immediate help for Karlsruhe's weak central defence. I expect him to already start on Saturday and further stabilise Karlsruhe's defence.

Altogether, I see Karlsruhe as the better team at the moment. They have much more creativity offensively and create clearly more chances per match. It is strange that they had almost the same price in their last away game at Furth, even though Furth is so much stronger than Regensburg. After two convincing performances, they get again the same price at a weaker opponent - that's weird. +0.5 is the line to go with here.

考虑到两支球队最近的印象，这场比赛应该会很接近。

雷根斯堡本赛季开局不错，但事实也是他们的阵容在德乙是第二弱的。实际上，他们几乎不应该在这个联盟中与任何一支球队对抗。他们也更擅长破坏对手的比赛，而不是积极的按照自己的方式去踢。比如上一场主场比赛（0:0 对纽伦堡），他们在整个 90 分钟内只有两次机会。

在经历了糟糕的开局之后，卡尔斯鲁厄最近彻底扭转了局面。上周，他们将 1:2 变成了 3:2 对阵桑德豪森，这支球队实际上状态非常好。23-8 次射门，68-32% 的控球率和 10-2 个角球——卡尔斯鲁厄的出色表现在比赛后期得到了回报。同样，之前的比赛是在菲尔特的一场可观的 1:1，当时卡尔斯鲁厄几乎没有犯规防守，甚至可以赢。本赛季到目前为止，他们的主要问题是他们的防守薄弱。然而，昨天他们从汉堡租借了安布罗修斯。我认为他是一个巨大的天才，也是德乙的一个伟大的中后卫。他受伤的时间更长，但他的实力如此之高，我相信他会立即帮助卡尔斯鲁厄的弱中后卫。我预计他将在周六开始并进一步稳定卡尔斯鲁厄的防守。

总而言之，我认为卡尔斯鲁厄目前是一支更好的球队。他们在进攻端有更多的创造力，每场比赛显然创造了更多的机会。奇怪的是，他们在上一场客场对阵菲尔特的比赛中的几乎相同，尽管菲尔特比雷根斯堡强得多。在两场令人信服的表现之后，预测卡尔斯鲁厄不败。

CELTA - REAL MADRID

I see guests favorites to take the three points from here.

Celta has a very weak squad, with poor transfer and their level is mid-table team. In the first game of the season we saw the same as past year: very weak defense, zero danger in attack, no midfielder to dominate the games, and a huge dependency of their best player and striker Iago Aspas, who scored a opening goal in the last game against Alaves which had less than 10% chances to convert according to stats data.

They were outplayed by Alaves at home (one of the worst teams in La Liga) and the most worrying - the team looked unable to control the match and create danger. Although Alaves scored two late goals (last from a penalty at 95’), the draw was deserved.

And Real Madrid was the opposite: they outplayed Almería, created a lot of chances, played very fast football and were solid in defense. The same as last season.

This year they have great players like Camavinga signed to give some rest to the veterans (Kroos, who is injured for this game; and Modric) and this kind of games in La Liga against weak teams are perfect for them.

Also this will be an important game for Tchouameni. Casemiro will leave the club and he must show that has enough talent to replace him, and this will be his first test after be known Casemiro’s departure.

Real Madrid use to achieve good results in Balaidos (1:2, 1:3, 1:3, 2:4) and according to what I saw in the first round plus both squads quality, I see the Blancos favorites to win here.

我预测客队拿下三分。

塞尔塔的阵容很单薄，转会市场很差，他们的水平是中游球队。在本赛季的第一场比赛中，我们看到了与去年相同的情况：防守非常薄弱，进攻零危险，没有中场主宰比赛，以及他们最好的球员和前锋伊阿戈·阿斯帕斯的巨大依赖，后者在上一场对阵阿拉维斯的比赛，根据统计数据，转换的机会不到 10%。

他们在主场被阿拉维斯（西甲最糟糕的球队之一）击败，最令人担忧的是——球队看起来无法控制比赛并制造危险。尽管阿拉维斯打进了两个进球（最后一个是在 95 分钟的点球），但平局是应得的。

而皇家马德里则相反：他们击败了阿尔梅里亚，创造了很多机会，踢得非常快，防守也很稳固。和上赛季一样。 今年他们签下了像卡马文加这样的伟大球员，让老球员们休息一下（克罗斯，他是本场比赛受伤；和莫德里奇），而这种在西甲对阵弱队的比赛对他们来说是完美的。 这对楚阿梅尼来说也将是一场重要的比赛。卡塞米罗将离开俱乐部，他必须证明有足够的天赋来取代他，这将是他在得知卡塞米罗离开后的第一次考验。

皇马在巴莱多斯取得了不错的成绩（1:2、1:3、1:3、2:4），根据我在第一轮看到的情况加上两支球队的实力，我认为皇马可以在客场取胜。