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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More WINNERS?

2022-08-19

比赛分析

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2022-08-19 03:00

解读理由

AZ Alkmaar vs Gil Vicente


AZ Almaar host Gil Vicente for this last round of UEFA Conference League qualification at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar early Friday Beijing time. The hosts are a Dutch team the visitors come from Portugal. There is a big difference between these two teams and I would be extremely surprised to see Gil Vicente qualify here. I expect a clear win for the hosts today! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts’ players’ total market value is much bigger than the visitors - over 63 million euros This is undoubtedly too low, and 70-72 million would be a more realistic number! Four players are clearly under-valued. As for Gil Vicente, the total value is 23 million which is too high and I would set number at 17-18 million. The players’ total market value is a surprisingly good indicator of a team’s level on the pitch.. However, if two players are equally good - and one of them is 24 years old and the other one is 34 - the younger player is, of course, much more valuable.. Indeed, a team’s total market value can also be misleading.. Even so, bettors as well as bookies pay more and more attention to this number. The biggest difference between the teams is in strikers' and offensive players' individual skill-level but Alkmaar's offensive structure is also much better.

In their most recent match Alkmaar dominated a decent team Sparta Rotterdam away from home despite the seemingly narrow final score – 2-3. They recorded 25 scoring attempts - the hosts had just eight. They also had much more passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. In the first round of Dutch Eredivisie they easily beat Go Ahead Eagles and could easily had won by more than 2-0. In the previous round of qualification, they have their opponent now chances at all crushing Tusla City, a decent team from Bosnia and Herzegovina 5-0 on aggregate. Before these matches they were even more dominant and trashed Scottish Dundee United. They were extremely unlucky to lose the first leg 0-1 but put up a huge offensive show in front of their loud fans last week and crushed the visitors 7-0. Gil Vicente beat Latvian Riga 5-1 on aggregate but the second leg (4-0) was match more balanced than the final score reflects as both teams had five shots on goal and the Latvians even recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks

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