Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

The WINNING continues?

2022-08-17

比赛分析

主队博德闪耀LOGO

博德闪耀

欧冠

已完赛

星期三2022-08-17 03:00

解读理由

Bodo Glimt VS Dinamo Zagreb


Bodo/Glimt host Dinamo Zagreb for this last round of UEFA Champions League qualification first leg at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodø. The odds are clearly wrong in the betting market here and betting on the Croatian hosts is a must! The visitors are undoubtedly the better team here in all areas of the game, especially defensively. They have played in the group stage in the 2019/2020 season even beating Atalanta 4-0 and so on. Last season they got beaten in the qualifying by a dangerous team from Moldova, Sheriff Tiraspol who went on to even beat Real Madrid - in Madrid! Dinamo received a lot of criticism after the failing against Sheriff but maybe it is not anything to really be ashamed of after all Bodo/Glimt have never achieved anything even close to this! Yes, I am of course of the hosts’ heroic wins over Roma in the Conference league beating them twice at home. The first win was 6-1 but it was clear that Roma’s players - or coach Mourinho - did not have the best attitude or motivation in this match. Also, the 6-1 does not reflect the events on the pitch. This shocking result understandably got a lot of media attention and I am certain it still affects the odds here.. In the play offs Roma did, after all, get their revenge and comfortably qualified against the Norwegians. Roma totally crushed them at home 4-0 in the second leg. On that day Roma showed that Bodo or not a even close to a top European team. We must also remember that Bodo sold some of their key players towards the end of last season..

The hosts do not even lead the Norwegian Elitserien at the moment, Molde do and the gap is five points. I definitely do not expect them to win this league this season. Perhaps they will not even make it to top 3.. They are strong offensively, but the opponent is much better than anyone they have played against this season so far and will not allow them too many chances here. They know how to play in these kinds of games and would probably be okay with a draw. Bodo do not have a solid defense for this level and Dinamo are often deadly on the counter attacks. The home advantage is massive here as the hosts have loud fans, but they are still only slim favorites. The chance of the visitors not losing is 61%. In the previous round Bodo crushed a poor team Linfield from Northern Ireland 8-1 on aggregate but lost the first leg! Dinamo on the other hand were very good against a dangerous team Ludogorets on beat them in both legs.

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。