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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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8/9 - Even more Veikkausliiga WINNERS? 赫尔辛基vs塞那乔其

2022-08-15

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期一2022-08-15 23:00

客队塞那乔其LOGO

塞那乔其

解读理由

HIFK vs SJK

HIFK welcome visitors from Seinäjoki at Bolt Arena downtown Helsinki, my home city, for this Veikkausliiga battle and I will be at the arena watching the match to gather as much information as possible. This is the highest tier on Finnish football but the quality is low by European standards.. I do not expect a particularly entertaining clash here - even by Veikkausliiga standards. This is mainly because of the fact that HIFK are a horribly bad team and have very limited offensive power. Indeed, they once again failed to score in their most recent match in Lahti but took a point through goalless draw.. The match was as low-level as expected - two very bad teams locking horns. HIFK, once again, received a red card - this time late into the first half as their Brazilian midfielder Savio Figueiredo was sent off. Even before that Lahti were the better team on the pitch but struggled throughout the game to create promising scoring chances. I must say that HIFK did defend perhaps even surprisingly well. According to some post-match reports in the Finnish media HIFK played quite well.. I disagree and stress that Lahti were worse than expected and only recorded a little more in expected goals 1.10-0.87.

The hosts have hired one of the most famous, talented and one of the most successful Finnish players Roman Eremenko and it seems not just the media but the bookies too think he can really help or even save HIFK from relegation. I am almost sure he won't be able to do that! HIFK are clearly the worst team in Veikkausliiga with just one win - even that - against a pretty bad team Ilves - one was a very lucky and undeserved. They have just eight points to their account and have a goal difference of 11:33! Eremenko told the media some two weeks he was thinking of ending his career earlier this summer but the desire to play football is still there after all.. He trained with HIFK for about a month prior to his first match - for about two years. He . He is still miles away from his best shape physically and is not nearly as fast as he was some 6-8 years ago. He was, in all honesty, not that great against Lahti Even so, I have raised HIFK’s power rating following Eremenko arrival as well but not significantly. I think the he will improve gradually though but for now we must be realistic about his effect on HIFK's level..

We really must not forget how weak HIFK are by raw class despite having perhaps 3-4 good players, for example Hing-Glover who has been good lately. Many of their players should not even play in Veikkausliiga but in Ykkönen, second tier. Now HIFK have yet another new player - this time from Norway. This guy is Ståle Saethre from Sandnes Ulf who play in the second tier. Based on what I have seen and read he is nothing special and might not even play today anyway.. HIFK have,however, have now lost their most important player, Beto, and the new goalkeeper is not even close to Beto's level. The legendary Portuguese goalkeeper, who has even played for FC Porto, had enough of all the messiness,negativity, uncertainty and losing in HIFK and left a few weeks ago. Without him HIFK would have even less points to their account. Before the Lahti match HIFK lost his to Inter 0-3 at Bolt Arena and had no chance at all in this match, but we must remember that their captain, Sakari Mattila, was sent out in the 23rd minute after two consecutive yellow cards. Before this they got totally demolished in by KuPS losing 1-5. KuPS recorded astonishing 28 scoring attempts and 13 shots on target – HIFK managed just two shots. KuPS also recorded 99 dangerous attacks – HIFK had just 31. It could have been even 9-0 or 10-1! KuPS are the second-best team in this league, but it was still horrible, low-morale performance! The team did not even fight. I think HIFK's players are starting to lose hope of not being relegated.. The team is also almost bankrupt which creates on uncertain atmosphere within the team. HIFK have lost four of their latest six matches and the (1-1) draw they achieved about a month ago came away from home against IFK Mariehamn despite the hosts having 34 scoring attempts – HIFK recorded just four. It was indeed a very lucky point!

SJK are the fifth best team in this league in my power ratings that illustrate the teams' pure class and are much better than HIFK in all areas of the game - especially offensively. SJK seem to repeat the familiar pattern from last season: A very disappointing start to the season. They actually played quite bad for the first 6-7 rounds but have now improved significantly! They have lost just one Veikkausliiga for a long time and keep climbing up the standings and are now in the 7th place with 22 points in the bank. The loss came about a week ago against a good team, Inter, in Turku 0-1. It was a balanced match though and a draw would have been a justified result. SJK had 53% ball possession, both teams had an equal number of scoring attempts and shots on target but SJK recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this SJK brought us a winner when they beat AC Oulu 3-2 at home. It could have been a more clear win! SJK created much more shots goal attempts, shots on goal and expected goals. The top 6 teams play in the Championship group later this season and SJK still have chance to make it so they are fully motivated here. Earlier this summer SJK managed to qualify over a pretty dangerous team, Estonian Flora, in the Conference League qualifying despite being the underdogs in the betting market. In the next round of qualifying, a very good Norwegian Lillestrom were too strong winning 1-0 in Seinäjoki and 5-2 in Norway. The 5-2 does not illustrate the events on the pitch though – it was much more balanced.. At home SJK did have their chances too, for example a penalty which they wasted.. Early on SJK were even better in the second leg in Norway and managed to level the score - 1-1. However, as I wrote in the analysis about this match – they needed to take big risks as they would have needed a win, and the much classier opponent was merciless and took advantage of almost every scoring chance bringing my fans and me another winner betting on Finnish club’s matches in UEFA’s competitions! Now SJK can concentrate on Veikkausliiga. Before the AC Oulu game they were terrific against FC Lahti and took a 3-1 away win despite resting multiple key players. Furthermore, on the 10th of last month, they beat a very strong team Honka from Espoo 3-2! An awesome performance at home! SJK have a 65% chance to go home with all three points. SJK were without a key player, striker Jake Jervis against Inter - he was replaced by Samson Ebuka Obioha who is not even close to Jervis's level! Jake is expected to play today and is a player to watch.

Good luck!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

HIFK在我的家乡赫尔辛基市中心的博尔特竞技场欢迎来自Seinäjoki的观众,我将在竞技场观看这场Veikkausliiga之战,以收集尽可能多的信息。这是芬兰足球的最高水平,但按欧洲标准来看,质量很低。我不认为这是一场特别有趣的冲突——即使是按照维考斯利加的标准。这主要是因为HIFK是一支糟糕透顶的球队,而且进攻能力非常有限。事实上,在拉赫蒂的最近一场比赛中,他们再次没有进球,但却以零比零的平局获得了一分。这场比赛的水平和预期的一样低——两支实力非常差的球队在激烈交锋。HIFK再次被红牌罚下——这一次是在上半场后半段,他们的巴西中场萨维奥·菲盖雷多被红牌罚下。在此之前,拉赫蒂队在球场上表现更好,但整场比赛都在努力创造有希望的进球机会。我必须说HIFK的防守甚至令人惊讶的好。根据芬兰媒体的一些赛后报道,HIFK踢得相当不错。我不同意并强调拉赫蒂的表现比预期的要差,只是比预期的1.10-0.87多了一点。

东道主聘请了最著名、最有天赋、最成功的芬兰球员之一罗曼·埃雷门科,似乎不仅媒体,连博彩公司都认为他真的可以帮助甚至拯救HIFK保级。我几乎可以肯定他做不到!HIFK显然是Veikkausliiga最糟糕的球队,他们只赢了一场,甚至赢了一个非常糟糕的球队伊尔维斯,这是一个非常幸运的,不值得的。他们的账户上只有8分净胜球差为11:33!大约两周前,埃雷门科告诉媒体,他曾考虑在今年夏天早些时候结束自己的职业生涯,但踢球的愿望仍然存在。在他的第一场比赛之前,他和HIFK一起训练了大约一个月——大约两年。他。他的身体状况还远没有达到最佳状态,速度也远不如6-8年前。尽管如此,在埃雷门科加盟后,我还是提高了HIFK的能力等级,但不是很明显。我认为他会逐渐提高的,但现在我们必须现实地看待他对HIFK水平的影响。

我们真的不能忘记HIFK是多么的弱,尽管有3-4个好球员,比如最近表现很好的Hing-Glover。他们的许多球员甚至不应该在Veikkausliiga踢球,而应该在Ykkönen踢球。现在HIFK又多了一个新成员,这次来自挪威。这个家伙是Ståle Saethre,来自Sandnes Ulf,他在第二梯队。根据我的所见所闻,他没什么特别的,可能今天都不会上场了。然而,HIFK现在已经失去了他们最重要的球员贝托,而新门将甚至还不能接近贝托的水平。这位曾经效力于波尔图FC的葡萄牙传奇门将,已经受够了HIFK的混乱、消极、不确定性和失利,几周前离开了。没有他,HIFK的账户就更少了。在对拉赫蒂的比赛之前,HIFK在博尔特球场0-3输给了国米,在这场比赛中完全没有机会,但我们必须记住,他们的队长萨卡里·马蒂拉在第23分钟连续两张黄牌被罚下场。在此之前,他们被输掉了1-5。KuPS记录了惊人的28次得分尝试和13次射正,而HIFK只完成了2次射门。KuPS也记录了99次危险袭击,而HIFK只有31次。甚至可能是9比0或10比1!火箭是这个联盟第二好的球队,但他们的表现仍然很糟糕,士气很低!球队甚至没有战斗。我认为HIFK的球员开始失去不被降级的希望了。球队也几乎破产,这在球队内部造成了不确定的气氛。在最近的6场比赛中,HIFK输掉了4场,他们在一个月前取得的(1-1)平局是在主场对阵IFK marihamn时取得的,尽管东道主有34次进球尝试——HIFK只有4次。这确实是一个非常幸运的点!

在我的实力评分中,SJK是联盟第五强的球队,这说明了这支球队的纯粹级别,而且在所有方面都比HIFK好得多——尤其是进攻端。SJK似乎重复了上个赛季熟悉的模式:一个非常令人失望的赛季开始。实际上他们在前6-7轮打得很差,但现在已经显著改善了!他们在很长一段时间里只失去了一个Veikkausliiga,并不断攀升排名,现在以22分排名第7。这场比赛是一周前在图尔库0-1输给了一支优秀的球队国米。这是一场势均力敌的比赛,平局是合理的结果。SJK有53%的控球率,两队得分和射门次数相同,但SJK记录了更多的进攻和危险的进攻。在此之前,SJK在主场3-2击败AC奥卢,为我们带来了一场胜利。这本可以是一场更明显的胜利!SJK创造了更多的射门机会,射门次数,射门次数和预期进球次数。前6名的球队将在本赛季晚些时候参加冠军杯小组赛,SJK仍然有机会晋级,所以他们在这里充满了动力。今年夏天早些时候,尽管在博彩市场上处于劣势,SJK还是成功地在联盟资格赛中击败了一支相当危险的球队,爱沙尼亚弗洛拉。在接下来的预选赛中,出色的挪威选手利勒斯特伦在Seinäjoki和挪威分别以1-0和5-2获胜。5-2并没有说明球场上发生的事情——它更加平衡。在主场,SJK也有机会,比如他们浪费了一个点球。早些时候,SJK在与挪威的次回合比赛中表现更好,并设法将比分扳成1-1。然而,正如我在关于这场比赛的分析中所写的——他们需要冒很大的风险,因为他们需要一场胜利,而更优秀的对手无情地利用几乎每一个进球机会,为我和我的球迷带来了另一个在欧足联比赛中押注芬兰俱乐部比赛的赢家!现在SJK可以专注于Veikkausliiga了。在与奥卢的比赛之前,他们在对阵拉赫蒂的比赛中表现出色,尽管让多名关键球员休息,他们还是在客场3-1获胜。此外,在上个月的10号,他们还以3比2击败了来自埃斯波的强队Honka !在家里的表现太棒了!SJK有65%的机会拿到三分。在对阵国米的比赛中,SJK缺少一名关键球员,前锋杰克·杰维斯——他被萨姆森·埃布卡·奥比奥哈取代,而后者的水平甚至与杰维斯相差甚远!杰克今天有望上场,值得关注。

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