Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka

Kashima Antlers host Avispa Fukuoka for this Japanese J1 League round 25 clash at Kashima Soccer Stadium Sunday afternoon Beijing time. This league is of pretty good level by global – and excellent by Asian standards. I see the hosts as more clear favorites than the betting market does. The hosts have a 59% chance of winning and bringing my fans and me yet another winner betting on J1 League. They often aim at controlling the ball, especially at home in front of their loud and loyal fans. They like to play quite aggressive, offensive football and sometimes take quite big risks which leads to them conceding more goals than other top teams. Indeed, they have netted the ball 35 goals so far but have also allowed 31. However, in terms of expected goals conceded they have been unlucky and should have allowed just 27 goals. In terms of expected points, they have also been slightly unlucky.

The hosts currently occupy the 5th place in the standings with a total of 40 points to their account. I believe they have potential for better defensive performances and quite possibly also climb up the standings.. The visitors, on the other hand, have an extremely limited offense. It lacks creativity, does not have the best structure - their strikers and other players with some offensive potential are simply not skilled enough for this league. They often play quite defensive – even cautious football though – especially away from home. I expect them to do the same here hoping to get a few scoring chances in counterattacks or perhaps from a free kick or a corner.. I believe they would be pretty satisfied with a draw. They have grabbed just 27 points and scored just 17 goals but have also allowed only 20. Their defense is quite solid, but I do expect them to concede more than one goals per match during the rest of the season and I expect them to drop down in the standings.

I will not let the latest results - that probably affect the odds quite much here - fool me! The hosts lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima last weeks and were not at their best. The visitors did deserve the win, but it was still more balanced than the 0-2 final score would suggest. Indeed, Kashima recorded two shots on goal - the visitors had three. Hiroshima are a good team though and were slim favorites in the betting market in this match. Before this they lost to Yokohama Marinios away from home, but this team top the standings by a clear margin and Yokohama were expected to win. I am counting on them to return at least close to their normal, good level. Avispa Fukuoka have won two matches in a row against Vissel Kobe in YBC Levain Cup. Kobe are the third-last team in the standings and the visitors were lucky especially in the first leg winning 2-1 away from home despite Kobe having 63% ball possession, goal attempts, shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. The second leg was more balanced, but Kobe would have deserved at least a draw. Avispa Fukuoka managed to record just two shots on target and 24 dangerous attacks, and their expected goals number was once again low in this clash. 1-0 if I would have to pick a score here!

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北京时间14日下午，日本J1联赛第25轮比赛在鹿岛足球场举行，鹿岛鹿角队主场迎战福冈威斯帕。这个联盟在全球范围内的水平相当不错，在亚洲的标准下也非常优秀。在我看来，主办国比博彩市场更受青睐。东道主有59%的机会获胜，这给我和我的球迷带来了又一个赌J1联赛的赢家。他们经常以控球为目标，尤其是在主场，在他们大声而忠诚的球迷面前。他们喜欢踢非常有侵略性的足球，有时会冒很大的风险，这导致他们比其他顶级球队丢更多的球。事实上，到目前为止，他们打进了35个进球，但也丢了31个球。然而，在预期丢球方面，他们很不幸，本应只丢27球。在预期得分方面，他们也有点不走运。

目前，东道主以40分的积分排名第五。我相信他们有潜力取得更好的防守表现，也很有可能攀升排名。另一方面，客队的进攻非常有限。它缺乏创造力，没有最好的结构——他们的前锋和其他一些有进攻潜力的球员在这个联赛中技术不够好。他们经常踢得很防守型的比赛，甚至是非常谨慎的比赛，尤其是在客场。我希望他们在这里也能这样做，希望在反击、任意球或角球中获得一些得分机会。我相信他们会对平局感到非常满意。他们只拿到27分，打进17球，但也只丢了20球。他们的防守相当稳固，但我确实希望他们在剩下的赛季中每场比赛丢一个以上的球，我希望他们的排名下降。

我不会让最新的结果——可能会对这里的胜算影响很大——欺骗我!东道主上周输给了广岛圣福雷斯(Sanfrecce Hiroshima)，状态不佳。客队确实应该赢，但比分仍然比0-2的比分更平衡。事实上，鹿岛有两次射正——客队有三次。广岛是一支很好的球队，在这场比赛中，在博彩市场上是微弱的热门。在此之前，他们在客场输给了横滨马里尼奥斯队，但这支球队以明显的优势领先，横滨队有望获胜。我希望他们至少能恢复到正常的水平。Avispa Fukuoka在YBC Levain杯上与Vissel Kobe的比赛中取得了两连胜。科比是排名倒数第三的球队，客队很幸运，尤其是在首回合客场2-1取胜，尽管科比有63%的控球率、射门次数、射门次数、进攻次数和危险的进攻次数。第二回合比较平衡，但科比至少应该得到一场平局。Avispa Fukuoka只完成了2次射正和24次危险的攻击，他们的预期进球数在这次冲突中再次很低。如果让我选一个比分的话，1比0 !