Lincoln City VS Forest Green

Lincoln City host Forest Green Rovers for this round 3 of English League One clash at LNER stadium Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the third tier of English football and is if pretty okay level by European standards - a lot better than say Finnish Ykkönen, second tier. The difference compared to Championship - let alone Premier League is substantial though. I see the hosts as slightly better by raw class and with the substantial home advantage they would deserve to be bigger favorites than to current odds – around 2.55 with well-known, pretty sharp bookies – would reflect. Lincoln have allowed just one goal in their most recent matches and the visitors' pretty limited offense might well fail to score here,.. 1-0 would be my choice if asked to pick a score. The visitors were promoted from League Two for this season and I struggle to understand why the betting market values them so high.. The teams that have just been promoted often have good energy and motivation early season but this factor should not be given too much emphasis! Forest Green do have some interesting players players but especially in defense Lincoln City should be more solid throughout the long season. They finished in the 17th place last season with 52 points to their account. Their goal difference was 55:63. In their most recent match Lincoln City crushed Doncaster in an EFL Cup 1/64-finals battle away from home 3-0. They had around 60% ball possession and recorded more shots on target, scoring attempts, passes and completed passes. Their offensive play was beautiful to watch and I expect them to be aggressive here and really go for the win. They have a 46% chance to win in my estimation.

Before the cup match today's hosts were forced to defend quite a lot away from home against a dangerous team Portsmouth away from home but did so with great structure and attitude.They were big underdogs in the betting market and I think it was a positive performance as a whole. In the first round they would have deserved a narrow win but it was a 1-1 draw at home against another newly-promoted team Exeter who are in my view stronger than Forest Green by pure class.. In their most recent match, Forest Green beat Leyton Orient 2-0 at home in EFL Cup but the match was more balanced than the final score would suggest. Before this Ipswich dominated them and took all three points frustrating the home crowd. The 2-1 Ipswich win was too narrow taking into account the events on the pitch. Ipswich had a whopping 20 goal attempts and 66 dangerous attacks - Forest Green recorded just 26. They also created 2.67 in expected goals - the hosts had just 0.76.

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北京时间周六晚，林肯城主场迎战森林绿流浪者队，进行英甲联赛第三轮的比赛。这是英格兰足球的第三级，按照欧洲的标准来看还算不错——比芬兰的Ykkönen要好得多，后者是第二级。与英冠相比，更不用说英超了，差距是巨大的。我认为东道主稍微好一些，鉴于主场的巨大优势，他们应该比目前的赔率更受欢迎。目前的赔率为2.55，知名的、相当精明的博彩公司的赔率为2.55。林肯在最近几场比赛中只丢了一个球，客队有限的进攻很可能无法在这里进球。如果让我选择比分，我会选择1比0。客队本赛季从英乙联赛升级，我很难理解为什么博彩市场对他们的估价如此之高。刚刚升班马的球队在赛季初期往往有很好的精力和动力，但这个因素不应该被给予太多的重视!森林格林确实有一些有趣的球员，但特别是防守方面，林肯城应该在漫长的赛季中更加稳固。上赛季他们以52分排名第17。他们的净胜球是55:63。在最近的一场比赛中，林肯城在EFL杯1/64决赛中客场3-0击败唐卡斯特。他们的控球率约为60%，记录了更多的射正、得分尝试、传球和完成传球。他们的进攻很漂亮，我希望他们在这里有侵略性，真正争取胜利。据我估计，他们有46%的胜算。

在今天的杯赛之前，主队被迫在客场面对危险的朴茨茅斯进行了大量的防守，但他们的防守结构和态度都很好。他们在博彩市场上处于劣势，我认为这是一个积极的整体表现。在第一轮，他们本应获得一场险胜，但在主场1-1战平了另一支新升的球队埃克塞特，在我看来，埃克塞特的纯实力比森林格林强。在最近的一场比赛中，Forest Green在EFL杯的主场2-0击败了Leyton Orient，但比赛比最后的比分更平衡。在此之前，伊普斯维奇控制了他们，拿走了所有的三分，挫败了主场的球迷。考虑到球场上的情况，伊普斯维奇2比1的胜利太过微弱。伊普斯维奇有惊人的20次射门和66次危险的进攻——森林格林只有26次。他们还创造了2.67个预期进球——东道主只有0.76个。