Ilves VS Honka

Ilves welcome Honka at Ratina Stadion in Tampere for this Finnish Veikkausliiga match Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the highest tier of my home country's football not of high level by global standards. However, today's match might turn out be pretty entertaining - mainly thanks to Honka's beautiful and aggressive offensive football. They can control the ball and patiently look for a chance to break the opponent's defense with short passes. They are also good in transitions - hard for the opponent to defend against Honka! We have achieved very good results betting on Veikkausliiga despite the bitter loss on Monday when Lahti failed to beat HIFK at home despite creating much more in expected goals and having 57% ball possession. It was a low-level game and a goalless draw. The odds on Lahti were heavily slashed right before the match started. Once again we will not go for low odds and have to accept the fact that 80% picks in this league can not be won long-term. We will surely make hefty profit in the future too though! Here we have a 57% chance of winning as the difference between the teams by pure class and is big. The home advantage is there but it is smaller than in most European leagues. Moreover. the atmosphere at Ratina has not been too great this season.

Honka have had a terrific season so far! I have written about them many times already this season and did rate them higher than the betting market and many football journalists in my preseason. However, they have been even better than I would have expected, and I have raised their power rating that illustrates the teams' raw class. The young team is full of young talents and a few older good-quality players and an excellent coach Vesa Vasara. Ilves's coach Toni Kallio,44, is not even close to Vasara's level. I want to mention in particular Portuguese Rui Modesto,22, and young Finn, Agon Sadiku,19, who is a very dangerous striker! Both have a chance to play for a lot bigger clubs than Honka in the future. Honka have improved constantly as the season has progressed. They pass the ball fast - and often with great accuracy and also allow the opponent very few dangerous scoring chances and expected goals. Their self-confidence is also high at the moment and the team spirit is reportedly excellent too! They are the 3rd best team in this league by pure class but are almost as good as KuPS and also occupy this position in the standings with 34 points and a have a great goal difference of 33:14. HJK from Helsinki, who have true chance of qualifying for the UEFA Europa League group phase are the best team Veikkausliiga. Honka challenged KuPS well last Sunday in Kuopio in a high-quality match by Veikkausliiga standards. KuPS were slightly better as a whole but it was a 1-1 draw. Before this Honka crushed VPS, a good team, 4-0 at home and did not allow them any scoring chances - not to mention shots on goal! What a dominant performance! Moreover, They have lost just one of their latest 10 matches. Ilves also have a very young team with some talent. Their team is pretty narrow though - not too many quality players outside the optimal starting lineup. They started to get decline around the same time last season too. The reasons are many: Too many minutes on the pitch and too much responsibility for the key players. Also, they have not been able to improve their game - most top 8 teams have! Injuries and absences play a role too. Yusif Moussa and Kalle Katz are not fully fit to play yet. Aapo Mäenpää has an ankle injury. Furthermore, Tuco and Tabi Manga are suspended due to too many cards. Ilves have been very lame offensive for a long time despite decent ball possession % in most matches. Their expected goals numbers have come down sharply in five most recent matches. In their most recent match VPS crushed them in Vaasa 3-0. An abysmal performance from Ilves! Before this they were lame against struggling FC Lahti and recorded just one shot in goal. It was 1-1 draw. Ilves can defend well on a good day but they would really have to improve - or get very lucky to win here..They have just 20 points in the bank at the moment and goal difference of 23:27. Ilves have won just one of their latest 10 matches. This crappy 1-0 win came some weeks ago against very weak HIFK in Helsinki. It was not a great performance.

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北京时间周六晚，在坦佩雷的拉蒂纳球场，伊尔维斯迎战洪卡。这是我的祖国足球的最高水平，以全球标准衡量不算高水平。然而，今天的比赛可能会变得非常有趣——主要得益于洪卡漂亮而有侵略性的进攻足球。他们能控制球，耐心地寻找机会短传突破对手的防守。他们在转换中也很好——对手很难防守Honka!尽管周一输得很惨，拉赫蒂仍然没有在主场击败HIFK，尽管他创造了更多的预期进球，控球率达到了57%，但我们还是把赌注压在了Veikkausliiga身上取得了非常好的结果。这是一场低级别的比赛，一场零比零的平局。拉赫蒂的赔率在比赛开始前大幅下降。再一次，我们不会追求低赔率，必须接受联盟中80%的选秀权不可能长期赢得的事实。不过，我们将来一定会赚大钱的!在这里，我们有57%的机会获胜，因为球队之间的差距是纯阶级和很大的。主场优势是存在的，但比大多数欧洲联赛都要小。此外。这个赛季拉蒂纳的气氛不是太好。

到目前为止，Honka有一个非常棒的赛季!本赛季我已经写过很多次关于他们的文章，并且在我的季前赛中对他们的评价确实高于博彩市场和许多足球记者。然而，他们的表现甚至比我预期的还要好，我提高了他们的功率等级，这说明了这支队伍的原始等级。这支年轻的球队充满了年轻的天才和一些年长的优秀球员，还有一位优秀的教练维萨·瓦萨拉。伊尔维斯的教练、44岁的托尼·卡利奥甚至还远不及瓦萨拉。我想特别提到22岁的葡萄牙人莫德斯托，年轻的芬恩，19岁的萨迪库，他是一个非常危险的前锋!他们未来都有机会为比Honka更大的俱乐部效力。随着赛季的推进，Honka不断进步。他们的传球速度很快，而且往往非常准确，也很少给对手带来危险的得分机会和预期的进球。他们的自信心也很高，据说团队精神也很好!他们是这个联赛中纯水平排名第三的球队，但几乎和up一样好，也以34分和33:14的净胜球占据了这个位置。来自赫尔辛基的HJK确实有机会进入欧联杯小组赛，他们是最好的球队维科斯利加。洪卡上周日在库奥皮奥的一场高质量的比赛中以韦克考斯利加的标准出色地挑战了KuPS。虽然整体上略好，但最终还是1-1战平。在此之前，Honka击败了VPS，这是一支优秀的球队，在主场4-0，没有给他们任何得分的机会——更不用说射门了!多么出色的表现啊!此外，他们最近10场比赛只输了一场。伊尔维斯也有一支很有天赋的年轻球队。他们的队伍很窄，没有太多优秀的球员在最佳首发阵容之外。大约在上个赛季的同一时间，他们也开始下降。原因有很多:太多的时间在球场上，太多的责任在关键球员身上。而且，他们还没能提高他们的比赛水平——大多数前8强球队都做到了!伤病和缺阵也是原因之一。穆萨和卡茨还没有完全适应比赛。Aapo Mäenpää脚踝受伤。此外，屠库和塔比漫画因为卡牌太多而暂停。尽管在大多数比赛中控球率都不错，但伊尔维斯的进攻能力一直很差。在最近的五场比赛中，他们的预期进球数大幅下降。在他们最近的比赛中，VPS在瓦萨3-0击败了他们。伊尔维斯的表演糟透了!在此之前，他们在对阵拉赫蒂的比赛中表现不佳，只进了一球。比分是1比1。在形势好的时候，伊尔维斯可以防守得很好，但他们真的需要提高——或者非常幸运地赢得这里的比赛。他们目前只有20分，净胜球是23:27。在他们最近的10场比赛中，伊尔维斯只赢了一场。这场糟糕的1-0胜利是几周前在赫尔辛基对阵非常弱的HIFK时取得的。那不是一场精彩的演出。