Russian football returns with brutal weather conditions - it will be -15 celcius at the kick-off of Moscow derby between Dynamo and Spartak.

The Cup games in Russia have been slightly modified in terms of rules - now a draw at full time is going to take things straight into penalty shootout, skipping extra time.

Generally, fixtures with this rule tend to die out on level score somewhere from 60th minute and onwards, because teams (if they're of about same quality) tend to become more cautious and reluctant to take any risks. With this factor in mind, plus the insane cold weather in Moscow - I expect a really close and low scoring affair here. For these reasons, the value is definitely with the double chance available for a team with superior squad (quality wise) - Spartak Moscow.

Visitors not only have a better set of players across the pitch, but also possess greater experience. Around 6 or 7 players expected to start for Dynamo Moscow on Saturday are under the age of 23, including Croatian defensive midfielder Moro (22), attacking mid Szymanski (21), Fomin (23), central defender Evgenyev (21) and some others.

The H2H balance in this Moscow derby also hints at possible problems for Dynamo as Spartak hasn't lost to them since May 2018 - virtually for 3 years.

I am positive Spartak is worth a shot on the offered +0.5 line.

俄罗斯足球逐渐回归-在莫斯科迪纳摩和莫斯科斯巴达克的莫斯科德比中，天气的温度为摄氏-15度。

俄罗斯的杯赛规则有所改动-常规时间如果打平会直接进行点球大战，跳过加时赛。

通常在此规则下往往进球会在第60分钟及以后出现，因为球队（如果他们的实力大致相同）会变得更加谨慎且不愿承担任何风险。考虑到这一因素，再加上莫斯科疯狂的寒冷天气，我认为本场的进球数不会太多。由于这些原因，选择拥有出色阵容的莫斯科斯巴达不败更有价值。

他们不仅在球场上拥有更多的球员，而且还拥有更多的经验。莫斯科迪纳摩预计大约有6或7名年龄在23岁以下的球员出战本场比赛，包括克罗地亚防守型中场莫罗（22），进攻中场曼奇（29），福明（23），中卫埃夫格涅耶夫（21）等。

莫斯科德比战中的交手记录也暗示了莫斯科迪纳摩可能存在的问题，莫斯科斯巴达克（Spartak）自2018年5月以来一直没有输给莫斯科迪纳摩-实际上已经3年了。

我认为本场莫斯科斯巴达不败值得信任。