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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Turkey!

2022-08-11

比赛分析

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2022-08-12 01:00

解读理由

Konyaspor VS Vaduz

Konyaspor welcome Vaduz at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium in Konya for this UEFA Conference League qualification 2nd leg. The hosts are a Turkish club – the visitors come from Liechtenstein. Stakes as high as qualifying for the group phase would mean a lot for both teams who are not used to achieving success in UEFA’s club competitions before. Millions of euros in prize money are also at stake here. Both teams have a genuine chance of making it to the final round as last week at Rheinpark Stadion was a 1-1 draw. However, I would be very surprised to see the visitors actually qualify. The difference in raw class between these two teams is massive! The hosts are superior in all areas of the game, but they have the biggest edge is in offensive capability – especially in the strikers’ and midfielders’ individual skill level. I see Konyaspor having on over 70% chance to win by at least two goals’ difference and brining my fans and I a winner.

Home advantage is almost always massive in international club competitions and for Turkish teams playing at home is even more important than for teams from some other countries. Konyaspor’s fans are not as enthusiastic and loud as say those of Galatasaray or Fenerbahce but are still a massive boost for the hosts. Konyspor are not among the biggest teams in Turkey by financial resources, historical success or players’ total market value which might be one of the reasons for bookies, bettors and most football analysts failing to understand their potential.. They played a very successful last season – surprising me, their fans and probably even their fans. This might be hard to repeat this season though. They finished in third place with 68 points behind Trabzonspor and Fenerbahce – above for example Galatasaray and Fenerbahce who have played in the Champions League group phase many times! Moreover, they were the best home team in quite high-level Turkish Super Lig winning 13 of the 19 matches at their stadium and had a very good goal difference of 36:15. The level of this league id hugely better than that of Swiss Challenge League were Vaduz play. It is the second tier of Swiss football. The Turkish team were clearly better already in the first leg recording 23 scoring attempts, Vaduz had just six. The visitors also had 61% ball possession and created much more in expected goals than Vaduz. Konyaspor also recorded much more shots on target attacks and dangerous attacks, but the hosts did defend well and had had a good defensive structure in front of their their some 2000 fans. Konyaspor clearly had a worse than normal day and were sometimes a bit careless near the hosts’ goal. However, it seemed that a draw was okay for them - probably relying on getting the job done at home..


科尼亚体育在科尼亚的科尼亚布尤克谢希尔贝莱迪耶体育场欢迎瓦杜兹参加本次欧足联会议联赛资格赛第二回合。东道主是一家土耳其俱乐部——游客来自列支敦士登。对于之前不习惯在欧足联俱乐部比赛中取得成功的两支球队来说,获得小组赛资格的赌注意义重大。数百万欧元的奖金也岌岌可危。两支球队都有真正的机会进入最后一轮,因为上周在莱茵公园球场以 1-1 战平。然而,我会非常惊讶地看到游客们真的有资格。这两支球队之间的原始等级差异很大!主队在比赛的各个方面都表现出色,但他们最大的优势在于进攻能力——尤其是前锋和中场的个人技术水平。我认为科尼亚体育有超过 70% 的机会以至少两球的差距获胜,并让我和我的球迷成为赢家。

主场优势几乎总是巨大的国际俱乐部比赛和土耳其球队在主场比赛比其他国家的球队更重要。 Konyaspor 的球迷不像加拉塔萨雷或费内巴切的球迷那样热情和大声,但对东道主来说仍然是一个巨大的推动力。科尼亚不是土耳其最大的球队之一,无论是财政资源、历史成功还是球员的总市值,这可能是博彩公司、投注者和大多数足球分析师未能了解他们的潜力的原因之一。他们上赛季打得非常成功– 让我、他们的粉丝甚至他们的粉丝感到惊讶。不过,这可能很难在本赛季重复。他们以 68 分落后于特拉布宗和费内巴切排在第三位——例如加拉塔萨雷和费内巴切,他们曾多次参加欧冠小组赛!而且,他们是土耳其超高水平联赛中最好的主队,在他们的球场19场比赛中赢了13场,表现非常出色。36:15的净胜球。这个联赛的水平比瑞士挑战联赛的水平要好得多的是瓦杜兹的比赛。这是瑞士足球的第二梯队。土耳其队在第一回合的表现明显更好,记录了 23 次得分尝试,瓦杜兹只有 6 次。客队也有 61% 的控球率,并且创造了比瓦杜兹更多的预期进球。 科尼亚在目标攻击和危险攻击方面也记录了更多的射门,但东道主的防守做得很好,并且在他们的大约 2000 名球迷面前拥有良好的防守结构。科尼亚显然比平常更糟糕,有时在主队的目标附近有点粗心。然而,似乎平局对他们来说是可以的——可能依赖于在主场完成工作。

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