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外籍分析师
拉托维亚籍人,职业足球分析师
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HUGE BET!

2022-08-11

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2022-08-12 00:00

解读理由

Helsinki plays host to Maribor in the second leg of the Europa league Qualifiers on Thursday, August 11, 2022. The match will be played at the home team turf, the Bolt Arena. Maribor succumbed to a 2-0 defeat in the first leg against Helsinki, and they will be seeking to mount a memorable comeback when they visit their opponent, whom they played against just a week ago. So many teams across Europe has shown that coming back after a first leg deficit is possible, as the most recent one saw Rangers come back from a 2-0 goal deficit to win 3-0 in the second leg. Despite the visitors poor results in recent outings, we at least expect them to frustrate the home side Helsinki, and to at least prevent a defeat in this tie. Despite Helsinki enjoying a better run of results in comparison to the visitors, they come into this tie at the back of a 1-1 draw against AC Oulu, in the Veikkausliiga in the Finnish division. They have not kept a clean sheet in most of their last three home games in all competition, thus we predict the away team to use this to their advantage.

Going into this match on the back of four consecutive losses in all competitions, we believe strongly that Maribor will use this tie as the perfect platform to get their season back on track by preventing a loss by all means possible. Despite their precarious condition, they’ve shown their ability to win matches as this was evident in the 3-2 win and 2-0 win against Gorica and Shakhtyor Soligorsk respectively. They also possess a very strong defensive line, as despite their condition, it has not always been an easy ride for teams to defeat them with a large goal margin. They have not recorded a single loss of more than 2 goals in their last four matches consecutively thus we are tipping them to frustrate the visitors as underdogs. A draw in this tie for Maribor will be a step in the right direction for a team who is lacking confidence in recent weeks, thus we expect them to win or draw in this tie especially as they have nothing to lose.

HJK, having a two goal lead, will likely play out a defensive game in the most part of this match in order to protect their two goal advantage. They will do this to eliminate unnecessary risk that may cost them this tie. With that in mind, Maribor will seek to find a way to hold possession and score if possible, and try to recuperate from their first leg disadvantage. We expect few goals in this tie, as the first leg saw just two goals scored by HJK. HJK has a defensive-oriented style of football which normally tries to frustrate teams away, thus,they will seek to keep things calm and draw out the match eventually since they already have the advantage. A win or draw to Maribor in this tie is highly likely after all permutations, as they go into this tie with nothing to lose but all to gain.


赫尔辛基将于 2022 年 8 月 11 日星期四在欧联预选赛第二回合主场迎战马里博尔。这场比赛将在主队的主场博尔特球场进行。马里博尔在首回合对阵赫尔辛基的比赛中以 2-0 失利,当他们拜访一周前与他们交手的对手时,他们将寻求一次令人难忘的复出。欧洲有如此多的球队表明,在首回合失利后复出是有可能的,因为最近的一支球队看到流浪者队从 2-0 的进球失利中回来,并在次回合以 3-0 获胜。尽管客队在最近的比赛中表现不佳,但我们至少预计他们会挫败主队赫尔辛基,并至少防止在这场比赛中失利。尽管与客队相比,赫尔辛基取得了更好的成绩,但他们还是在芬兰赛区的 Veikkausliiga 1-1 战平 AC Oulu 后打成平手。他们在过去三场主场比赛的大部分比赛中都没有保持不失球竞争,因此我们预测客队将利用这一优势。

在所有比赛中连续四场失利的情况下进入这场比赛,我们坚信马里博尔将利用这场平局作为完美的平台,通过尽一切可能防止失利,让他们的赛季重回正轨。尽管他们的情况岌岌可危,但他们已经展示了他们赢得比赛的能力,这在分别以 3-2 和 2-0 击败戈里察和 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 的比赛中就很明显。他们还拥有非常强大的防守线,尽管他们的状况不佳,但对于球队来说,以较大的进球优势击败他们并不总是一件容易的事。他们在过去的四场比赛中没有连续失球超过 2 个,因此我们认为他们是为了让客队感到沮丧,因为他们是弱者。对于最近几周缺乏信心的球队来说,马里博尔的平局将是朝着正确方向迈出的一步,因此我们尤其希望他们在这场平局中获胜或平局因为他们没有什么可失去的。

两球领先的赫尔辛基可能会在这场比赛的大部分时间里进行防守比赛,以保护他们的两球优势。他们将这样做以消除可能使他们失去这种联系的不必要的风险。考虑到这一点,马里博尔将寻求找到一种方法来控制球权并在可能的情况下得分,并尝试从首回合的劣势中恢复过来。我们预计这场比赛的进球很少,因为第一回合赫尔辛基只进了两个球。赫尔辛基的足球风格以防守为主,通常会试图挫败球队,因此他们会寻求保持冷静并最终将比赛拉开,因为他们已经占据了优势。经过所有排列后,马里博尔很可能在这场比赛中获胜或平局,因为他们进入这场比赛时没有什么可失去的,但所有的都是收获。

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