Sampaio Correa VS Bahia

Sampaio Correa welcome Bahia Londrina for this Brazilian Serie B round 23 battle at ‘Estádio Governador João Castelo in São Luís Wednesday morning Beijing time. This the second tier of Brazilian football and is of quite good quality overall and does offer pretty okay entertainment for football lovers. It is good to keep in mind that Serie B is a low-scoring league. Most teams are capable of very well-organized and structured football with a solid - or at least decent - defense. Very high-scoring goals are extremely rare. Bahia have very strong defense and have conceded just 11 goals so far - Cruzeiro and Gremio have allowed even more though. The visitors have scored a respectable 25 goals and have grabbed 40 points so far and have, in my opinion, a very good chance to finish in top 4 and be promoted to Serie A for next season! It is hard to spot any significant weaknesses in Bahia’s game and i think they have not yet even shown their full potential - especially offensively.

Bahia are in fine form and have lost one of their latest five matches and this loss happened on the 23th of July in Belo Horizonte. Indeed, Cruzeiro beat them 1-0 in a very good-quality and at times entertaining clash. Let's remember that Cruzeiro were clear favorites according to the betting market in this game. They currently top the standings with 49 points and their stadium is of course very hard to take points from – especially at their stadium. Somewhat surprisingly they have grabbed nine more points than Gremio in second place. Cruzeiro were the better team in this battle but not a draw would not have been too unjustified either.. It was a positive performance overall despite Bahia being a little too predictable offensively, especially after the 64th minute when the hosts Eduardo Brock was sent off. By pure class Bahia are better of these two by a pretty wide margin and should be more clear favorites in the betting market. They have a 43% chance of winning but as a draw would be enough my fans and I have a 75% chance of winning once again and extending the hot streak!

Sampaio Correa do have a great home record – something that is mentioned almost everywhere in the football media – especially in Brazil. However, there is no “magic” about their stadium and the home their home advantage is given too much emphasis by the bookies once again today. In their most recent game, they were lucky to steal a point from Brusque away from home through a 1-1 draw. Brusque, who – let’s not forget - are a mediocre team at best, recorded 61% ball possession, more scoring chances and expected goals. Before this Tombesense humiliated today’s hosts with a 3-0 win. Sampaio Correa are currently in 9th place, but I expect them to drop down the standings as the season progresses and perhaps finish 12-14th place. They have taken more points - 29 – and scored more goals (26) than they would have in terms of advanced statistics. They would really have to improve in all areas of the game - or simply be lucky of course - to take all three points here. The biggest problem today will probably be their often insufficient passing accuracy and quality and lack of pace when trying to break the a well-organized opponent’s defense. Sampaio Correa will be without Luiz Daniel and perhaps Mauricio. Bahia’s Marco Antonio is injured.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周三上午São Luís，桑帕约·科雷亚在Estádio Governador João Castelo球场欢迎巴伊亚·隆德里纳参加巴西乙级第23轮的比赛。这是巴西足球的第二级，整体质量相当好，为足球爱好者提供了相当不错的娱乐。要知道，意乙是一个得分很低的联赛。大多数球队都有很好的组织和组织能力，他们的防守很稳固，至少还算不错。非常高的进球是非常罕见的。巴伊亚有很强的防守，到目前为止只丢了11球——克鲁塞罗和格雷米奥丢的球更多。客队目前已经打进了令人尊敬的25球，拿到了40分，在我看来，他们有很好的机会进入前四，并在下赛季升入意甲!在巴伊亚的比赛中很难发现任何明显的弱点，我认为他们甚至还没有显示出他们的全部潜力——尤其是在进攻端。

巴伊亚队状态良好，最近五场比赛输掉了一场，这场失利发生在7月23日的贝洛奥里藏特。事实上，克鲁塞罗以1-0击败了他们，这场比赛质量非常好，有时也很有趣。我们要记住克鲁塞罗在这个博弈中显然是最受欢迎的。他们目前以49分高居榜首，他们的球场当然很难拿分，尤其是在他们的球场。有点令人惊讶的是，他们比第二名格雷米奥多拿了9分。克鲁塞罗是这场战斗中更好的球队，但如果不是平局，也不会太不公平。尽管巴伊亚的进攻有点太容易预测，但总体来说，这是一个积极的表现，尤其是在64分钟后，东道主布洛克被罚下。通过纯类巴伊亚是更好的这两个相当大的差距，应该是更明确的最爱在博彩市场。他们有43%的机会赢，但平局就足够了，我和我的球迷有75%的机会再赢一次，并延长连胜!

桑帕约·科雷亚确实有一个伟大的主场记录，这在足球媒体中几乎无处不在，尤其是在巴西。然而，他们的球场和主场并没有什么“魔力”，他们的主场优势被今天的博彩公司再次给予了太多的强调。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们很幸运地在客场1-1战平了布鲁克斯，从他手中抢到了一分。我们不要忘了，布鲁克斯充其量只是一支平庸的球队，他的控球率达到了61%，有更多的得分机会和进球预期。在此之前，汤姆逊以3比0的比分羞辱了今天的东道主。桑帕约-科雷亚目前排名第9，但我预计随着赛季的推进，他们的排名会下降，也许会排在12-14名。他们拿到了29分，进了26球，这比他们在高级数据方面要多。他们真的必须在比赛的所有方面都有所提高——或者只是运气好——才能拿到这三分。今天最大的问题可能是他们的传球准确性和质量不足，在试图突破组织良好的对手的防守时缺乏速度。桑帕约·科雷亚将失去路易斯·丹尼尔，也许还有毛里西奥。巴伊亚的马可·安东尼奥受伤了。