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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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It's classic market overreaction or no?

2022-08-08

比赛分析

瑞超

已完赛

星期二2022-08-09 01:00

解读理由

I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.


Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.15 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value on away side. +1.5 AH looks like very good bet to play here.


I see big market overreaction for unavailable players list. Of course, Helsingborg today will play without their 3 key players: defender Weberg and strikers Olsson and van den Hurk, but they already played without them in last round match and they were able to record a win in very important match for league table against Sundsvall.


Hacken is in great form, but in last 6 matches only once they won with more than one goal margin so for me is hard to see them as so big favorite today. Hacken have one new absence in comparison to the last round match: offensive midfielder Ali is injured (he played in first squad in last round).


Helsingborg didn't lost in last 3 consecutive matches against Hacken. For me +1.5 AH line is simply too high.


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