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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The good streak continues? 挪甲精选

2022-08-08

比赛分析

挪甲

已完赛

星期二2022-08-09 00:00

解读理由

Asane Fotball VS Fredrikstad

Asane welcome Fredrikstad for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 19 clash at Asane Arena in Bergen early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Norwegian football and is not of high level by European standards but is still much better than say Finnish second tier, Ykkönen. I have watched all expect for one match this season and cannot understand why the betting market sees the visitors as the favorites here! I have recommended a bet on Asane before this season and will do the same again here. The recommended bet with the +0.5 goals handicap has a 64% chance of winning. Surely the visitors are better by pure class but definitely not by a wide margin. Asane do not have the most enthusiastic fans but surely the home advantage can not be underestimated here. Indeed, I see Asane as slim favorites here.

Asane currently occupy the 12th place in this league with a total of 12 teams. They have 19 points so far. The visitors, on the other hand, have two more points to their account and are in 11th place. The season has bene a big disappointment for them so far but the bookies keep trusting – and over-valuing them. I do admit that they do have potential for better performances, especially defensively.Moreover, they have lost three matches in a row and are at least not improving.. In their most recent match, they defended horribly bad and lost 2-4 to Stabaek at home. Stabaek are, of course, a good team but it was still a horrible performance especially in terms of defensive structure and attitude. Before this they were a bit better away from home still lost to Start 0-1. In this match their coach had chosen a more defensive strategy but the “price” for this was quite lame offensive game. Before this they put up an abysmal performance losing 0-4(!) at home to a mediocre team Raufoss as clear favorites according to the betting market. The recorded just three scoring attempts – the visitors had eight. Moreover, they failed to have any shots on target – Raufoss had six! Asane, on the other hand have been pretty okay lately losing just one of their latest five matches. This was a heavy one, 0-6, away from home against a dangerous team Sandnes as clear underdogs. However, the score is quite misleading as Asane had more ball possession as well as dangerous attacks!


北京时间周二凌晨,阿萨内欢迎弗雷德里克斯塔德参加在卑尔根阿萨内竞技场举行的挪威 OBOS-Ligaen 第 19 轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二层级,按照欧洲标准来说并不高,但仍然比芬兰第二层级的 Ykkönen 好得多。我看过所有人都期待本赛季的一场比赛,无法理解为什么博彩市场将客队视为这里的最爱!在本赛季之前,我已经推荐了 Asane 的赌注,并且会在这里再次做同样的事情。 +0.5 目标让分的推荐投注有 64% 的获胜机会。当然,纯粹的级别来访者会更好,但绝对不是很大。阿萨内没有最热情的球迷,但这里的主场优势肯定不容小觑。确实,我认为 Asane 是这里的热门人选。

阿萨纳目前以12支球队占据联赛第12位。到目前为止,他们得到了 19 分。另一方面,访问者对他们的帐户并排在第 11 位。到目前为止,这个赛季对他们来说是一个很大的失望,但博彩公司一直信任他们——并且高估了他们。我承认他们确实有潜力取得更好的表现,尤其是在防守端。此外,他们连续输了三场比赛,至少没有进步。在最近的一场比赛中,他们的防守非常糟糕,以 2-4 输给了斯塔贝克在家。斯塔贝克当然是一支优秀的球队,但它仍然是一场糟糕的表现,尤其是在防守结构和态度方面。在此之前,他们在客场稍好一些,但仍以 0-1 输给了开局。在这场比赛中,他们的教练选择了更加防守的策略,但为此付出的“代价”却是相当蹩脚的进攻游戏。在此之前,根据投注市场,他们在主场以 0-4(!)输给了平庸的球队 Raufoss,表现糟糕透顶。记录的只有三次得分尝试——客队有八次。而且,他们没有射中目标——劳福斯有六个!另一方面,阿萨内最近在最近的五场比赛中只输了一场,表现还不错。这是一个沉重的,0-6,客场对阵危险的桑内斯队,显然是弱者。然而,由于阿萨内拥有更多的控球权和危险的进攻,这个比分相当具有误导性!

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