Sepsi vs Djurgården

Sepsi welcome Djurgården for this UEFA Conference League qualification first leg at Stadionul Sepsi in Sfantu Gheorghe very early on Friday Beijing time. Typically for first legs in UEFA's competitions I expect cautious football here, especially in the first half.Not conceding on early goal is important, mentally in particular. Indeed, I see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of a draw is pretty high - 33.5%. A draw would not be a disaster for either teams and would be enough to bring my fans and myself yet another winner with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The chance of winning is 67%. However, I have watched all Djurgården's matches this season but unfortunately not all Sepsi's matches this season but have read extensive reports on these two matches. By raw class Djurgården are slightly better but with the substantial home advantage there is no favorite in this match in my opinion. Sepsi do have good, enthusiastic fans to cheer for them. In their most recent home game they crushed FC Arges after huge domination. They recorded about 60% ball possession, and created much more attacks and dangerous attacks. They also had eight shots on target - the visitors had just two. Arges are not as good as Djurgården but certainly not bad either.. They have started the Romanian Liga 1 well not losing any games so far. In their most recent match. they faced Petrolul away from home and would have deserved a win by one goal in terms of expected goals but it was a 1-1 draw. I expect them to improve even further with more and more competitive matches in the pocket. In the Romanian Super Cup final they beat a very dangerous team Cluj 2-1 last month. In the preseason friendlies they were very good - for example beating Bulgarian CSKA Sofia 4-0, Polish Legia 1-0 and the Hungarian champions 3-0! Especially Ferencvaros are very strong team!

In the previous round, both teams did well beating quality opponents. The hosts qualified over a good Slovenian team Ljubljana 4-3 on aggregate and were very dominant in the home (first leg) winning 3-1 and giving the visitors very little chance. The score could have been even more clear in their favor. In Slovenia they lost though. Djurgården comfortably beat Croatian Rijeka, a quite strong team 4-1 on aggregate but on the pitch it was much more balanced. They have done very well in Swedish Allsvenskan and currently top the standings and I have raised their power rating that illustrates the teams' pure class. However, they have also been lucky in terms of expected points and goals - statistics commonly used by professional bettors to identify under- or over-valued teams. They are not as strong as it may seem based on the latest results and their odds here are way too low.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

赛普西欢迎Djurgården参加北京时间周五早些时候在塞普西球场举行的欧足联资格赛首回合比赛。对于欧足联比赛的首回合，我预计比赛将会非常谨慎，尤其是在上半场。不让对手过早进球是很重要的，尤其是在心理上。事实上，我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分更低。平局的概率相当高——33.5%。一场平局对两支球队来说都不会是一场灾难，而且足以让我和我的球迷成为另一个有+0.5个进球障碍选项的赢家。获胜的几率是67%然而，我看了Djurgården本赛季的所有比赛，但不幸的是，不是塞普西的所有比赛，但我阅读了关于这两场比赛的大量报道。通过生班Djurgården稍微好一些，但有实质性的主场优势，在我看来，在这场比赛中没有最喜欢的。塞普西确实有热心的粉丝为他们加油。在他们最近的一场主场比赛中，他们在巨大的统治之后击败了FC Arges。他们记录了60%的控球率，创造了更多的进攻和危险的进攻。他们还有8次射正，客队只有2次。Arges不像Djurgården那么好，但肯定也不差。到目前为止，他们在罗马尼亚西甲联赛中一场比赛都没有输过。在他们最近的比赛中。他们在客场面对汽油队，本应以一球的进球数赢得比赛，但结果却是1-1战平。我希望他们能在越来越多的比赛中取得进步。在上个月的罗马尼亚超级杯决赛中，他们2-1击败了一支非常危险的球队克卢日队。在季前赛的友谊赛中，他们表现得非常出色——例如4-0击败保加利亚索菲亚中央陆军，1-0击败波兰军团，3-0击败匈牙利冠军!特别是费伦克瓦罗斯是一支非常强大的球队!

在上一轮比赛中，两队都击败了重量级对手。主队以总比分4-3击败斯洛文尼亚队卢布尔雅那，并在主场(首回合)3-1取胜，给了客队很少的机会。比分本可以更明显地对他们有利。在斯洛文尼亚，他们输了。Djurgården轻松击败克罗地亚的里耶卡，这是一支相当强大的球队，总比分是4比1，但在球场上他们更加平衡。他们在瑞典的奥尔斯文斯坎踢得非常好，目前高居积分榜榜首，我提高了他们的功率等级，这说明了这支球队的纯粹水平。然而，他们在预期积分和目标方面也很幸运——专业押注者通常使用这些数据来确定估值过低或过高的球队。根据最新的结果，他们并没有看起来那么强大，他们在这里的可能性太低了。