In my opinion Sevilla is clear favorite of this match and I see value in these odds, Sevilla win shouldn't be priced above 1.30.

Sevilla without any new absences so their squad should look exactly the same like in previous round, Valladolid is without right defender Saidy Janko, he played in last round.

Sevilla is unbeaten against Valladolid since 2010. They won 4 of last 5 matches against them (they kept clean sheet 3 times). Sevilla don't have problems with goalscoring against Valladolid - they scored at least one goal in last 13 La Liga matches against them. They should be able to continue this streak.

Real Valladolid defense is very unstable, they conceded at least one goal in all 13 La Liga matches of current season, 7 times they conceded more than one goal. In last round they conceded 2 goals at home against Osasuna (last position in table) and Osasuna even had good chances to score next goals. Sevilla scored at least one goal in 10 of last 12 matches in all competitions. They failed to score against Chelsea when they used second-choice team and in last home match against Real, but they deserved for something more in that game - they had 12 shots and 63% ball possession.

So far Sevilla won 3 of 5 home matches, they scored 6 goals, but they should more (expected goals: 8.14), they conceded 4. Valladolid lost 4 of 6 away matches, they scored only 5 goals and they conceded 10. If You look on bigger picture, difference is even more visible. Sevilla scored at least one goal in 41 of last 50 home La Liga matches, 25 times they scored more than one goal. Is hard to break Sevilla defense at Estadio Sanchez Pizjuan - in last 50 La Liga matches at home they kept clean sheet 21 times. On the other hand Valladolid is poor on away - they lost 26 of last 50 away La Liga matches, 23 times they failed to score. Their defense is not hard to break when they have to play on away - they conceded at least one goal in 41 of last 50 away La Liga matches, 21 times they conceded more than one goal.

I trust for Sevilla here.

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在我看来，塞维利亚显然更好，我看到了这指数的价值，塞维利亚获胜的价格不应该高于1.30。

塞维利亚没有任何新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样，巴拉多利德没有右后卫赛迪·扬科，他在上一轮上场了。

塞维利亚自2010年以来一直保持着对瓦拉多利德的不败战绩。他们赢了过去5场比赛中的4场(3次保持零失球)。塞维利亚在对阵巴拉多利德的比赛中没有进球的问题——他们在过去的13场西甲比赛中至少进了一个球。他们应该能够继续这种连胜。

瓦拉多利德的防守非常不稳定，他们在本赛季的13场西甲比赛中至少失球1个，7次失球超过1个。上一轮他们在主场对奥萨苏纳(积分榜上的最后一名)丢了2球，奥萨苏纳甚至有很好的机会再进一球。塞维利亚在过去的12场比赛中有10场至少进了一个球。在对切尔西的比赛中，他们使用了替补阵容，在上一场主场对皇马的比赛中，他们没有进球，但他们在那场比赛中应该得到更多的东西——他们有12次射门，63%的控球率。

到目前为止塞维利亚赢了5场主场比赛中的3场，他们进了6个球，但他们应该更多(预期进球:8.14)，他们输了4球。瓦拉多利德输掉了6场客场比赛中的4场，他们只进了5球，丢了10球。如果你从更大的角度看问题，差别会更加明显。塞维利亚在过去50场西甲主场比赛中有41场至少进一球，有25次他们进了一球以上。皮萨胡安——在过去50场西甲主场比赛中，塞维利亚21次保持零失球。另一方面，瓦拉多利德在客场表现很差——他们在过去50场西甲比赛中输掉了26场，23次没有进球。当他们不得不在客场比赛时，他们的防守并不难被打破——在过去50场西甲比赛中，他们有41场至少丢一个球，21次他们丢了一个以上球。

我信任塞维利亚。