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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Belgrade!

2022-08-04

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2022-08-04 02:45

解读理由

Red Star Belgrade vs Pyunik YereStadion


Red Star Belgrade welcome Pyunik Yerevan at Rajko Mitić for this UEFA Champions League qualification third round first leg clash early Thursday Beijing time. The difference in pure class - in all areas of the game - is substantial and I will recommend a bet on the hosts - even at quite low odds. The hosts are a Serbian team - the visitors come from Armenia. My fans and I need Red Star to win by at least two goal's difference. The probability is 73%. Indeed, the hosts have played even in the Champions League group stage many times achieving decent results against the best teams on the planet. On the 29th of October 2018 they beat the eventual champions, Liverpool 2-0 at home! Of course the team has changed a lot from those days - and even from last season but is still a very potential one with great traditions! In fact, we have reason to believe that they are even stronger than last season. Osman Bukari, Aleksandar Pesic,Kings Kangwa, Stefan Mitrovic, Nemanja Milunovic and several other players have joined the team. Milan Gajic, Richairo Živković, Cristiano Piccini and several other unimportant players, on the other hand, have left to dominant force in Serbian football. I expect them to win the Serbian Super League this season once again. The level of this League is hugely better than the Armenian Vbet Premier League. I have mentioned many times that home advantage in UEFA's international matches is often even bigger than the betting market seems to realize but for Red Star it is massive! Their fans, especially the most enthusiastic ones - "ultras" - are incredibly loud and passionate about their team. Indeed, Red Star have won over 80% of their home games and the last time they lost a competitive match at their stadium was in November last year in Europa League against a very good Danish team Midtjylland. 0-1 was the final score.

The hosts have started their season in their domestic league with 4 convincing wins and have been even better than I would have expected. In their most recent match they demolished Radnik 6-0 at home. They have also taken 5-0 and 4-0 win at their stadium so far this season. The visitors were lucky the beat Romanian team Cluj in the first round of qualies. They played okay but Cluj were far from their normal level. In the second they beat a small team from Luxemburg - Dudelange. I expect the hosts to put huge pressure here right from the start and score a quick goal or two.The visitors defense will not be able to defend well enough against hosts' very talented strikers, They are too slow and erratic to do this. 2-0 or 3-0 I think,.


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