It won’t be easy but Atletico Madrid should win. Asian handicap -0.75 is my bet here.

Atletico as said in previous picks is the best spanish team right now. They have huge confidence and motivation, are playing well, all players are at their best level, and have a lot of quality upfront (something they missed a lot in the last years) to win the crucial matches.

They are at first position, with the best defence in whole Europe (is the only team in all european leagues who has conceded only 10 goals after 20 rounds) and are the main favorites to win the title. 16 wins in 19 games, since the only defeat in La Liga this season so far (against Real Madrid) won all league fixtures played (8).

For this match will miss two starters - Joao Felix and Carrasco. But there are good replacements in Correa (who is at a great level) and Saul, who gained a lot of confidence after his performances last week against Cadiz, where scored one goal.

The main difference with Atletico this season is Luis Suarez (La Liga topscorer, 14goals). Atletico doesn't need too many chances to score goals, they have a lot of quality and can score goals in just a small mistake or lack of concentration in their rivals. This added to their competitive spirit and their defence made them almost unbeatable.

On the other hand, Celta are in a bad run now. With the new coach they improved a lot, but their motivation and winning run ended already some weeks ago. Winless in the last 6 games, is truth that also had to deal with important injuries (like Iago Aspas, best player). But with him available also Celta weren’t able to win last week against Granada for example.

Celta is a weak side, they have quality upfront but I’m sure that Atlético will know how to stop Iago Aspas. Without him, Celta is a very average team, with a weak defence. Furthermore, they are a terrible visitor - only won 1 match so far this season (11 played away).

I’m expecting a match where Celta will try to have the ball possession but Atletico will feel very comfortable with that. Simeone’s guys will make a high pressure, because the Chacho Coudet’ team use to make mistakes in defence when they receive a high pressure as we saw against Villarreal (lost 0:4), Betis (lost 2:1) or Eibar (1:1).

In the previous game played, Atletico won easily 0:2. In the previous meetings in Madrid, Atletico won 4 of the last 5 (drew 0:0 last season). I see Celta’s defence very vulnerable and Atletico’s attack full of motivation and morale. On the other hand, I see hosts' defence strong enough to stop Iago Aspas and keep the goal to nil, so we should see a home win here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

马竞正如之前所说的，是目前西班牙最好的球队。他们有巨大的信心和动力，打得很好，所有的球员都处于他们最好的水平，有很多高质量的前锋(这是他们在过去几年里错过的)来赢得关键的比赛。

他们排名第一，拥有全欧洲最好的防守(是所有欧洲联赛中唯一一支在20轮比赛中只丢了10个球的球队)，是夺冠的主要热门。在19场比赛中赢得16场胜利，这是本赛季迄今为止西甲唯一的一场失利(对皇家马德里)，赢得了所有联赛的比赛(8场)。

这场比赛将缺席两名首发球员-费利克斯和卡拉斯科。但是科雷亚和索尔都有很好的替代者，他们在上周对阵加的斯的比赛中打进了一个进球，并获得了很多自信。

本赛季和马竞的主要区别是路易斯·苏亚雷斯(西甲最佳射手，14个进球)。马竞不需要太多的进球机会，他们有很多的质量，只要一个小失误或者对对手不够专注就能进球。这增加了他们的竞争精神，他们的防守使他们几乎不可战胜。

另一方面，塞尔塔现在情况不佳。在新教练的带领下，他们进步了很多，但是他们的动力和胜利之路在几周前就已经结束了。在过去的6场比赛中都没有获胜，这是事实，同时还要处理重要的伤病(像伊阿古·阿斯帕斯，最好的球员)。但是在他缺阵的情况下，塞尔塔也没能在上周对格拉纳达的比赛中获胜。

塞尔塔是一支弱队，他们的锋线很有实力，但是我相信Atlético会知道如何阻止伊阿古·阿斯帕斯。没有他，塞尔塔是一支非常普通的球队，防守也很弱。此外，他们是一个糟糕的访客——本赛季到目前为止只赢了一场比赛(11场客场)。

我希望在一场比赛中塞尔塔会尽量控球，但马竞会觉得很舒服。西蒙尼的队员们会施加很大的压力，因为库德特的球队在承受压力时经常会在防守上犯错，就像我们在对阵比利亚雷亚尔(0:4输了)、贝蒂斯(2:1输了)和伊巴尔(1:1)的比赛中看到的那样。

在上一场比赛中，马竞以0:2轻松获胜。在之前与马德里的比赛中，马竞赢得了5场比赛中的4场(上赛季0:0战平)。我认为塞尔塔的防守非常脆弱，而马竞的进攻充满了动力和斗志。另一方面，我认为主队的防守足够强大，足以阻止伊阿古·阿斯帕斯，并将比分保持在零，所以我们应该在这里看到主场胜利。