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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Even more WINNERS from Finland?

2022-07-31

比赛分析

解读理由

MP vs PK-35


MP welcome visitors from the capital city of my home country, Helsinki, for this Finnish Ykkönen battle at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto in Mikkeli, a small city southeastern Finland. The level of this league is low, and I warmly recommend my fans to watch almost any other league for entertainment! My focus, however, is to make money for my fans and myself and for this purpose Ykkönen is a great league! We have now won several bets in a row betting on this league – easily! On Wednesday PEPO got the job done and yesterday JäPS and Ekenäs IF took comfortable victories.Neither MP or PK-35 are good teams even in Ykkönen - both are having a disappointing season. However, the visitors have massively under-performed so far this season. They have quite a big players’ salary budget and financial resources by Ykkönen standards. I have written negative things about the visitors in the past and rarely recommend a bet on MP either but that is exactly what I will do here! I do not usually go for low odds, especially in Ykkönen, and here the chance of MP winning is not super-high either – 48%. However, odds on them are definitely too high - at the time of posting this at least..

Both teams are still at risk of being relegated - bottom 4 in Ykkönen is indeed quite balanced. Even PIF Pargas, the worst by pure class and rock-bottom team, have 13 points to their account.. MP currently occupy the 9th place with 16 points and a decent goal difference of 24:27. I expect them to finish the season I this place and rate them as the 9th best team in Ykkönen in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ raw class. PK-35 are only slightly worse by raw class but are horribly bad away from home! Indeed, they have lost six of the away matches and taken two draws. The goal difference on the road is 8:23 and 21:35 overall. They have grabbed just 14 points so far. Yes, they have improved a little lately, but I am still not convinced by their football. The betting market has reacted to their decent recent performances too heavily and they remain as an over-valued team by the bookies. In their most recent match, they did beat Ekenäs IF at home 3-1 but the visitors were in a bad place then – a very bad streak after losing their best player, striker Adam Larsson, who joined Ilves (Veikkausliiga). Ekenäs's morale was very low then. They were also without an actual coach in this clash but now have a new one from Portugal. Before this Jaro humiliated PK-35 4-0 in Helsinki. Some of their players looked lazy, even unmotivated in this match in the second half - a bad indicator! Jaro are a good team, but it was still a shameful performance. According to my inside sources and observations the team spirit within PK-35 is far from optimal. Furthermore, on the 10th of July they were disappointing against lowly PEPO as clear favorites and were once again very vulnerable and unstructured in defense. It was a 3-3 draw.

MP, on the other hand, were, in all honesty, not great on Wednesday and PEPO beat them 2-1 at home in a balanced match. However, at home they have much more energy and confidence and have beaten for example Jaro 2-0 and forced TPS Turku, the best team in Ykkönen, into a draw earlier this season. Last week they lost to Jaro in Pietarsaari 0-2 and the hosts were the better team but MP played okay. They even had more ball possession (54%) as well as attacks and dangerous attacks. MP saw many players come and go after last season but are still a more united and structured unit of the two and have a very good team spirit according to my sources. The visitors’ Rafael Zbinden has returned to training - Patrick Aaltonen’s situation is unclear at the time of writing this. Mustafa Beyai has a fresh injury. Muslim Markhiyvevin, one of the disappointing PK-35 players, has returned to Kiffen, Kakkonen, the 3rd tier.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这个联赛的水平很低,我强烈建议我的球迷去看几乎所有其他的联赛来娱乐!然而,我的重点是为我的球迷和我自己赚钱,为了这个目的Ykkönen是一个伟大的联盟!我们现在已经在这个联赛上连续赢了好几次赌注——很轻松!周三PEPO完成了这项工作,昨天JäPS和Ekenäs IF取得了轻松的胜利。MP和PK-35都不是好队伍,即使是在Ykkönen -他们都有一个令人失望的赛季。然而,客队本赛季到目前为止表现不佳。按照Ykkönen的标准,他们有相当大的球员工资预算和财政资源。我过去写过关于访问者的负面评论,也很少推荐赌MP,但这正是我在这里要做的!我通常不喜欢低赔率,特别是在芬兰甲。

两支球队都有降级的危险——Ykkönen排名倒数4的确是相当平衡的。即使是PIF帕尔加斯,纯职业最差和垫底的球队,也有13分。MP目前以16分和24:27的净胜球占据第9名。我希望他们能在这个地方结束赛季,并在我的力量评级中把他们评为Ykkönen中第9名,这说明了这支球队的原始水平。PK-35只差一点点,但是在客场是非常糟糕的!事实上,他们在客场输掉了6场比赛,取得了2场平局。总净胜球差是8:23和21:35。到目前为止,他们只拿到了14分。是的,他们最近进步了一点,但我仍然不相信他们的足球。博彩市场对他们最近的良好表现反应过度,他们仍然被博彩公司视为高估的球队。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场3-1击败了Ekenäs IF,但客队当时的处境很糟糕——在失去了他们最好的球员,加入伊尔维斯的前锋亚当·拉尔森后,他们的表现非常糟糕。当时Ekenäs的士气非常低落。他们在这场比赛中也没有真正的教练,但现在有了一位来自葡萄牙的新教练。在此之前,Jaro在赫尔辛基以4-0羞辱了pk - 35k。他们的一些球员看起来很懒惰,甚至在下半场的比赛中没有动力——这是一个糟糕的指标!扎罗是一支优秀的球队,但这仍然是一个可耻的表现。根据我的内部消息来源和观察,PK-35内的团队精神远远不是最佳的。此外,在7月10日的比赛中,他们对排名较低的PEPO的表现令人失望,他们的防守再次变得脆弱和松散。平局是3比3。

另一方面,老实说,MP在周三的比赛中表现不太好,PEPO在主场2-1击败了他们。然而,在主场,他们有更多的精力和信心,在本赛季早些时候,他们2-0击败了Jaro,并迫使TPS图尔库——Ykkönen赛季中最好的球队——打平。上周他们在Pietarsaari 0-2输给了Jaro,东道主是更好的球队,但MP踢得还好。他们甚至拥有更多的控球权(54%)以及进攻和危险的进攻。MP看到上赛季很多球员来来去去,但根据我的消息来源,他们仍然是一个更团结和更有组织的单位,有很好的团队精神。客队的拉斐尔-兹宾登已经回到训练中——在写这篇文章的时候,帕特里克-阿尔托宁的情况还不清楚。穆斯塔法·贝耶又受伤了。穆斯林Markhiyvevin,一个令人失望的PK-35球员,已经回到了Kiffen, Kakkonen,第三级。

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