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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More PROFIT from Veikkausliiga? 赫尔辛基vs玛丽港

2022-07-30

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期六2022-07-30 22:00

解读理由

HJK Helsinki VS IFK Mariehamn


HJK welcome visitors for Mariehamn for this Finnish Veikkausliiga clash at Bolt Arena late Saturday evening Beijing time. Many of my fans probably know that HJK are the best by raw class, most traditional and especially richest club in Veikkausliiga, the highest level of Finnish football. Two more famous in Finland players - Paulus Arajuuri, the iconic (former) Finnish national team player and Aapo Halme, a promising guy have joined the club that now has a huge number of quality players in the squad. The squad is perhaps even too large and there are rumors they quite a few players are unhappy as they are not given as much time on the pitch by Toni Koskela. According to my inside sources the team spirit could also be better in HJK.. We have, however, bet tin them this season, for example in the season opener against Honka, a match they won 1-0 at home. However, in most matches the smart bet is to go on the opponent - usually with a +1.5 goals handicap option. This is what we did some weeks ago when the these two teams met in Mariehamn at Wiklöf Holding Arena and "The Islanders" beat the mighty HJK 2-1. No, they were not the better team and did have some luck oin their side by the key takeaway from that match was that IFK can challenge HJK better than the betting market estimates! Today they have a 52% chance of avoid a loss by more than one goals' difference - bringing my fans and me yet another winner betting on Veikkausliiga!

I have mentioned before that IFK are a lot better at their home island of Åland than on the road. This is still true, but IFK have definitely improved their performances away from home in the most recent 4-5 weeks. They have won two of the five most recent away matches and have taken one draw - against Honka in Tapiola. Honka are a very dangerous team and the 1-1 draw was a fine effort. In fact ,the match was, very surprisingly, a quite balanced one! Honka took an early lead but as the match progressed IFK improved a lot and could even control the ball quite well at times. HJK, on the other hand, keep performing hugely below their potential and have taken very few clear wins in Veikkausliiga so far. Koskela will probably rotate his squad pretty heavily today - once again as HJK have a super-important match (first leg) next week in Slovenia against Maribor in Europa League qualification.. Surely HJK want to win Veikkausliiga as well but I'm pretty sure especially the foreign - as well the more experienced Finnish players have success in Europe as their main goal for this season.. Maribor is a team HJK can realistically beat.. Earlier this week the hosts traveled to Prague for Champions League qualification second leg and got crushed by Plzen 5-0!The first leg in Helsinki was more balanced and HJK lost "only" 1-2.. IFK do not have their best squad available today but neither do HJK, not even close! Arajuuri injured in Prague. Aapo Halme is not physically ready for this level yet and starts with Klubi 04 - the youth/reserve team. Long-term injured players include Joona Toivio, Valtteri Moren, Manuel Martic and Roope Riski.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周六晚些时候,在博尔特球馆,HJK欢迎前来马里哈姆观看芬兰对阵威考斯利加的观众。我的许多球迷可能都知道,HJK是最原始的、最传统、最富有的俱乐部,是芬兰足球的最高水平。另外两名在芬兰更出名的球员——前芬兰国家队标志性球员保罗·阿拉朱里和前途光明的球员阿阿波·哈尔梅加入了现在拥有大量优秀球员的俱乐部。球队的阵容可能太大了,有传言说他们很多球员都不高兴,因为他们没有得到托尼-科斯凯拉那么多的上场时间。根据我的内部消息,HJK的团队精神也可以更好。然而,我们本赛季对他们下了赌注,比如在赛季首战对洪卡的比赛中,他们在主场1-0获胜。然而,在大多数比赛中,明智的赌注是押在对手身上——通常有+1.5个球的不利条件选项。这就是我们几个星期前做的,当这两支队伍在Wiklöf Holding Arena的marihamn相遇,“the Islanders”以2-1击败强大的HJK。不,他们不是更好的球队,但他们确实有一些运气,从那场比赛的关键收获是,IFK可以挑战HJK比博彩市场估计的更好!如今,他们有52%的机会以超过一个进球的差距避免输球——这让我和我的球迷又多了一个下注Veikkausliiga的赢家!

我之前提到过,IFK在他们的家乡Åland岛比在路上要好得多。这仍然是事实,但IFK在最近4-5周的客场比赛中确实提高了他们的表现。在最近的5场客场比赛中,他们赢了2场,并在塔皮奥拉与洪卡的比赛中取得了1场平局。洪卡是一支非常危险的球队,1-1的平局是一次很好的努力。事实上,非常令人惊讶的是,这是一场相当平衡的比赛!Honka很早就取得了领先,但随着比赛的进行,IFK进步了很多,有时甚至可以很好地控制球。另一方面,HJK的表现远远低于他们的潜力,到目前为止在维考斯利加几乎没有取得明显的胜利。Koskela今天可能会大量轮换他的阵容,因为HJK下周有一场非常重要的比赛(首回合),在欧联杯资格赛中对阵斯洛文尼亚和马里博尔。当然,HJK也想赢得维考斯利加,但我很确定,尤其是外援,以及更有经验的芬兰球员,在欧洲取得成功是他们本赛季的主要目标。马里博尔是HJK可以击败的球队。本周早些时候,东道主前往布拉格参加欧冠资格次回合比赛,结果被Plzen 5-0碾压!在赫尔辛基的首回合比赛比较平衡,HJK“只”输了1-2。IFK现在没有最好的阵容,HJK也没有,差远了!阿拉朱里在布拉格受伤。阿阿波哈梅的身体还没有准备好参加这个级别的比赛,他首发的是克鲁比04青年队/预备队。长期受伤的球员包括Joona Toivio, Valtteri Moren, Manuel Martic和Roope Riski。

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