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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on!

2022-07-30

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期六2022-07-30 22:00

解读理由

Hull City VS Bristol City


Hull host Bristol City for this for this English Championship opening round at MKM Stadium late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of English football and offers relatively high-level football and, most importantly, lucrative betting opportunities. Some players, for example Norwich’s Finnish striker Teemu Pukki could easily play even at the highest level, Premier League, as well. Championship is physically challenging league and players are expected to fight hard for every ball. An extremely balanced match is expected here between these too pretty mediocre teams.The betting market rates the hosts as pretty clear favorites – despite the odds on the visitors going down as smart money seems to be piling on Bristol City.. I, howver, simply cannot see the Hull as the favorites and rate this match as a coin toss (50-50%) The first matches of the season are often pretty low-scoring and players often, probably somewhat unconsciously, try to avoid defeat. More specifically, if the if the score is level late into the second half huge risks to score are often avoided. Attacking is generally speaking harder than defending and even the top teams’ offensive level is rarely even near to the optimal level in the first 3-4 rounds. Indeed, a draw would not be a surprise here and the odds on this result on the betting market offer slim value. The probability is 31%. However, the recommended bet is Bristol City +0.5 with a 65% chance of winning. Odds on the hosts to finish in the top 12 are generally around 2.00 in the betting market which is way too low reflecting the over-valuation at the start of the season. I predict another rather disappointing season for Hull.

Last season Hull finished in the 19th place with disappointing 51 points to their account. They had massive problems with scoring and creating scoring chances and only found net 41 times. Only the rock-bottom team Barnsley were more ineffective – they scored 33 goals. However, Hull did defend at a satisfactory level and conceded 54 goals. Turkish media mogul Acun Ilicali bought the club in January and the hosts’ fans must have high expectations for this season.As expected, there have been quite a few transfers this summer. Keane Lewis-Potter and George Honeyman two of the most important departures. Ilicali seems to have used his contacts to bring in Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Dogukan Sinik, Ozan Tufan and Benjamin Tetteh from Turkey. Jean Michael Seri is an interesting free transfer and player to keep an eye on after a strong season with dominant Fulham during their title-winning and promotion back to Premier League campaign last season.Tobias Figueiredo brings valuable and much needed Championship experience at the back. Goals are expected from Columbian Oscar Estupinan who scored 15 goals in Liga Portugal for Vitoria de Guimaraes last season. Adaptation to English football will probably take time though and there is too much hype around him at the moment. The hosts’ results during were far from optimal despite the 2-1 wins over Spanish club Malaga as well a lowly team Cambridge United. Leicester crushed them 4-0 and in their most recent match Peterborough humiliated them with a 3-0 win. Peterborough were relegated to League One after last season.. I expect Hull to improve as the season progresses but at the moment their situation is a bit blurry. Bristol City, on the other hand have, been in solid form winning four times and playing two draws in their six pre-season matches. They would earn more respect on the betting market! In their most recent match they beat Bournemouth, a Premier League team 1-0. They also defeated Forest Green 3-1, Plymouth 1-0 and Cheltenham 2-0. Solid performances in my opinion! Overall, they have lost lost just one of their 12 most recent matches. A player to watch is alented and effective Kal Naismith,30, who has joined Bristol City for free from Luton Town. The hosts will be without Emmanuel – the visitors will be without Baker. Let’s also remember that on the 30th of April Bristol crushed Hull 5-0!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周六晚些时候,赫尔主场迎战布里斯托尔城。这是英国足球的第二级,提供相对高水平的足球,最重要的是,利润丰厚的赌博机会。一些球员,比如诺维奇的芬兰前锋蒂木·普基,即使在最高水平的英超联赛中也能轻松出场。冠军联赛是对身体的挑战,球员们被期望为每一个球而努力奋斗。在这两支平庸的球队之间,我们期待着一场极其平衡的比赛。博彩市场认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队,尽管客队的赔率在下降,因为聪明的钱似乎都在布里斯托尔城。然而,我根本不认为赫尔城是最受欢迎的球队,我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样(50% -50%)。赛季的第一场比赛往往得分很低,球员们经常,可能在某种程度上无意识地,试图避免失败。更具体地说,如果下半场比分持平,往往可以避免巨大的得分风险。一般来说,进攻比防守更难,即使是顶级球队的进攻水平也很少在前3-4轮接近最佳水平。事实上,平局在这里并不令人意外,博彩市场对这一结果的赔率也不高。概率是31%然而,推荐的赌注是布里斯托尔城+0.5,有65%的胜算。在博彩市场上,东道主进入前12名的赔率通常在2.00左右,这反映了赛季开始时的过高估值。我预测赫尔又会有一个令人失望的赛季。

上个赛季,赫尔城以令人失望的51分排名第19。他们在得分和创造得分机会方面有很大的问题,只有41次破门。只有垫底的巴恩斯利队效率更低,他们打进了33个球。然而,赫尔城的防守水平令人满意,丢了54个球。土耳其媒体大亨阿昆·伊利卡里在1月份买下了这家俱乐部,东道主的球迷对这个赛季肯定抱有很高的期望。不出所料,今年夏天有不少转会。基恩·刘易斯·波特和乔治·霍尼曼是最重要的两位离职者。伊利卡利似乎利用他的关系从土耳其引进了阿拉海尔·萨伊德马尼什、多古坎·辛尼克、奥赞·图凡和本杰明·泰特赫。让-迈克尔-塞里是一名有趣的自由转会球员,他在上赛季带领富勒姆夺冠并升入英超后表现出色,值得关注。托比亚斯·菲盖雷多在后场带来了宝贵的、急需的英冠经验。哥伦比亚人奥斯卡·埃斯图皮南有望进球,他在上赛季为吉马良斯维多利亚队在葡萄牙西甲联赛中打进15球。适应英格兰足球可能需要一段时间,而且现在他周围有太多的宣传。尽管东道主2-1击败了西班牙俱乐部马拉加以及实力较弱的剑桥联队,但比赛结果远非理想。莱斯特城4-0击败了他们,在最近的一场比赛中,彼得伯勒以3-0击败了他们。彼得伯勒在上个赛季后降级到英甲。我希望赫尔城随着赛季的推进会有所改善,但现在他们的情况有点模糊。另一方面,布里斯托尔城在6场季前赛中取得了4胜2平的稳定状态。他们会在博彩市场赢得更多尊重!在最近的一场比赛中,他们以1比0击败了英超球队伯恩茅斯。他们还以3比1击败了格林森林,1比0击败了普利茅斯,2比0击败了切尔滕纳姆。在我看来,这是一个扎实的表现!总的来说,他们在最近的12场比赛中只输掉了一场。值得关注的球员是30岁的卡尔·奈史密斯,他从卢顿免费加盟布里斯托尔城。东道主将没有伊曼纽尔,客队将没有贝克。让我们也记住4月30日布里斯托尔5比0击败赫尔!


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