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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on!

2022-07-25

比赛分析

主队阿尔多斯维LOGO

阿尔多斯维

阿甲

已完赛

星期一2022-07-25 02:30

解读理由

Aldosivi vs River Plate


Aldosivi welcome River Plate for this Argentinian Liga Pro round 10 clash Estadio José María Minella Mar del Plata. This league is of pretty good level by global standards and one of the leagues with best entertainment value now that the best leagues in Europe are still on a summer break for 1.5-2 more weeks. Most importantly, this league often offers lucrative matches to bet on. This league is quote low scoring on average, but this match surely has a higher goal expectancy than most matches in this league with quite big differences between the teams in terms of financial resources, players’ total market value and also level on the pitch. However, the betting market estimates this match as massively too high-scoring in my view.. Indeed, the recommended bet on the hosts with the +1.5 goals handicap option is a very good one as my fans and I would win even if the hosts were to lose by one goal’s difference. The chance of winning is 65%.

Let's not forget that River Plate have won just twice in their most recent 10 matches by more than one goal.. The clearly bigger than average goal expectancy is probably because of the huge offensive potential River Plate undoubtedly do have. We must, however, be realistic here – they have scored just 12 goals in nine matches so far in this league.. They have also conceded 10, so the goal difference is not particularly great.. They currently occupy the 13th place with 12 points to their account and have won just three matches. They will surely improve as the season goes on but at the moment, they are far from their best level! Even so, by raw class they are hugely better and are clear favorites here even taking the considerable home advantage into account.. They finished second in Group A Copa de Liga Profesional - a competition of 14 rounds + playoffs - that was played before this league started,

Aldosivi are the rock-bottom team (28th) in the standings but they, too, are better than the standings suggest! They finished in fourth place in Group B of Copa de La Liga Profesional with 20 points. They have surely not been great so far, especially offensive as they have scored just six goals and taken five points, but they were still pretty good in their most previous match against a dangerous team Colon Sante Fe away from home with over 62% ball possession and close to 20 scoring attempts – the hosts had 10. Aldosivi also recorded more completed passes and dangerous attacks. They were massive underdogs in this match according to the betting market. We must remember, though, that Colon Santa Fe’s Goltz was sent off already in the first half. On the 5th of this match, they even managed to win 2-1 at home over Rosario Central. They have lost just twice in their most recent 10 matches by more than one goal’s difference. River Plate will be without injured Diaz, Perez, Rojas and Suarez today.

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