In my opinion Dallas have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Last match between both teams finished with Dallas loss 1:2 at home, but that wasn't fully deserved: expected goals scored for Dallas 1.75, for Salt Lake 1.31. In overall Dallas have solid record against Salt Lake as they didn't lost in 21 of last 30 matches against them.

After 4 consecutive matches without a single win, in last round Salt Lake recorded comfortable 3:0 win at home against Kansas. I believe this is main reason why Salt Lake is really overrated here. Kansas is very poor team this season, so win at home against them is not convincing for me. In current season Salt Lake made better results at home than they really should - they conceded 6 goals in 10 home matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 11.39 (it's big difference).

Dallas is without a win in 7 consecutive matches, but I see improvement in their performances. They didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches and even when they lost against NYCFC they looked good: expected goals scored for Dallas 1.37, for NYCFC 0.73. Dallas in current season is not bad on away as they didn't lost in 7 of 10 away matches.

Salt Lake is without team captain Kreilach and important winger Wood. In addition to that key midfielder Caldwell and striker Schmitt are doubtful today. Dallas is without defender Farfan, bur he already not played in previous round.

On those circumstances I see value on Dallas. They have all required tools to make that happen.

在我看来，达拉斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

两队之间的最后一场比赛以达拉斯主场 1:2 告终，但这并不是完全应得的：达拉斯的预期进球数为 1.75，盐湖城的预期进球数为 1.31。总的来说，达拉斯在对阵盐湖城的比赛中战绩不错，因为他们在过去 30 场比赛中21场没有输球队。

连续4场比赛未尝胜绩，上轮盐湖城主场3:0轻松战胜堪萨斯。我相信这是盐湖城在这里被高估的主要原因。堪萨斯本赛季是一支很差的球队，所以在主场战胜他们对我来说没有说服力。本赛季盐湖城在主场取得了比他们真正应该的更好的成绩——他们在 10 场主场比赛中丢了 6 个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢 11.39 个球（差别很大）。

达拉斯连续7场比赛没有获胜，但我看到他们的表现有所改善。他们没有在 3在过去的 4 场比赛中，即使他们输给了纽约城FC，他们看起来也不错：达拉斯的预期进球数为 1.37，纽约城的预期进球数为 0.73。达拉斯在本赛季的客场表现并不差，因他们在 10 场客场比赛中有 7 场没有输球。

盐湖城缺少了队长克雷拉赫和重要的边锋伍德。除了那个关键的中场球员考德威尔和前锋施密特今天也出战存疑。达拉斯缺少后卫法尔凡，但他上一轮已经没有上场了。

在这种情况下，我看到了达拉斯的价值。他们有能力避免输球。