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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Very important information for this game 奥甲:萨尔茨堡VS奥地利维也纳

2022-07-22

比赛分析

奥甲

已完赛

星期六2022-07-23 02:30

解读理由

In my opinion Salzburg is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least two goals margin.


Last time both teams played each other in April. Salzburg won that match 5:0 at home and that was fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Salzburg 5.02, for Austria 0.20.


If You look on line ups from that game, 8 of 11 players is still in Salzburg team and they are available to play today. Many key players from previous season like Camara, Wober or Seiwald will play today. On the other hand Austria top scorer from previous season Djuricin is unavailable today. Two the best playera from previous season (according to the ratings) Suttner and Martel are not in club anymore. In addition to that key defender Teigl and key midfielder Jukic are not fully fit and there small chance for them to start from first minute. It's huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance. Salzburg have big depth in their squad, it's hard to say something like that about Austria.


Austria should be affected at both ends of the pitch. Salzburg in previous season scored 77 goals in 32 matches (!), but according to the expected goals scored model they should score even more (81.3). They shouldn't have problems with goalscoring today - Austria conceded at least one goal in 26 of 32 league matches last year. On the other hand Salzburg kept clean sheet in 50% of their matches in last season and today I don't see easy goalscoring for Austria without their top scorer.


All in all, Salzburg is clear favorite and with Austria big squad problems I can't imagine any other result than routine home win.


本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,萨尔茨堡显然是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球队,他们应该能够以至少两个进球的优势轻松取胜。

两队上次比赛是在4月份。萨尔茨堡主场5:0获胜,这是完全应得的结果:萨尔茨堡的预期进球为5.02,奥地利为0.20。

如果你看看那场比赛的阵容,11名球员中有8人仍然在萨尔茨堡队,他们今天仍然可以上场比赛。许多上个赛季的关键球员,如卡马拉,沃伯或西瓦尔德将在今天上场。另一方面,奥地利上个赛季的最佳射手德杰里辛今天无法上场。两个上个赛季最好的球员(根据收视率)萨特纳和马特尔已经不在俱乐部了。除了关键后卫泰格尔和关键中场朱基奇还没有完全恢复,他们的首发机会很小。这对球队是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。萨尔茨堡的阵容有很大的深度,但奥地利却很难这样说。

奥地利在球场的两端都应该受到影响。萨尔茨堡在上个赛季32场比赛进了77球(!),但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进更多(81.3)。他们今天应该不会有进球的问题——奥地利在去年32场联赛中至少丢了1球。另一方面,萨尔茨堡上赛季有50%的比赛没有失球,今天我不认为奥地利在没有他们的头号射手的情况下能轻松进球。

总而言之,萨尔茨堡显然是最受欢迎的,加上奥地利的大阵容问题,我想象不出除了在主场赢得常规赛胜利之外还有什么结果。

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