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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How many goals they will score today?

2022-07-21

比赛分析

巴甲

已完赛

星期五2022-07-22 07:00

解读理由

In my opinion America have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


In previous season America won 2:1 at home against Palmeiras so they have good mental advantage befor today's match and for sure they are fearless.


In last round America lost at home 0:3 against Bragantino, they had awful start as they conceded 3 goals in first half, but in second part of the match they played better than opponents. For sure today they have huge motivation to bounce back on good track front of home crowd. In overall America is very solid home team as they didn't lost in 21 of last 27 home matches in Serie A.


Two positive news in America team - key right winger Everaldo is fully fit and ready to play. Left winger Pedrinho also is ready to play and this is great info - he was man of the match one week ago in Cup game against Botafogo. He should make a lot of damage today as he is fresh and in-form. Palmeiras have big squad problems, especially on the left side of defensive formation. Key left defender Piquerez get injured in last round match, second-choice left defender Jorge still is unavailable. Palmeiras really don't have options on this side and this is big opportunity for America wingers. In addition to that best scorer of the team Roni and other important striker Navarro are unavailable today. Palmeiras squad problems are not surprise for me - it's already 5th match for the team in 15 days period..


America is more fresh, last match they played 4 days ago at home, so they don't have to travel anywhere. Palmeiras last match played 3 days ago at home. It's big difference at this stage of the season.


Palmeiras won 4 of 8 away matches in current season, but they recorded better results than they really should. They conceded 4 goals in those 8 away matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 10.27. It's huge difference. For me is hard to imagine clean sheet for them today with those huge problems on the left side.


America should be able to score at least one goal and that should be enough to make at least one point today.


本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,美洲真的有很大的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少一分。

在上个赛季,美洲队在主场2:1战胜了帕尔梅拉斯,所以他们在今天的比赛前有很好的心理优势,他们毫无畏惧。

上一轮美洲队在主场0:3输给布拉甘蒂诺,他们开局糟糕,上半场丢了3球,但在下半场他们表现得比对手好。当然,今天他们有巨大的动力在主场球迷面前重新回到正轨。总的来说,美国是一支非常稳固的主队,他们在意甲过去27场主场比赛中有21场没有输。

美洲队有两个好消息——关键的右边锋埃弗拉尔多已经完全康复并准备上场比赛。左边锋佩德罗尼奥也准备好了,这是很好的消息——他是一周前对博塔弗戈的比赛最佳球员。他今天应该会造成很大的破坏,因为他是新鲜的和状态。帕尔梅拉斯的阵容有很大的问题,尤其是在防守阵型的左侧。主力左后卫皮克雷斯在上一轮比赛中受伤,替补左后卫豪尔赫仍然无法上场。帕尔梅拉斯在这一边真的没有选择,这对美国边锋来说是一个很大的机会。除了球队的最佳射手罗尼和其他重要前锋纳瓦罗今天都不能上场。帕尔梅拉斯的阵容问题对我来说并不意外,这已经是球队15天内的第五场比赛了。

美洲队更新鲜,他们4天前在主场打了最后一场比赛,所以他们不需要去任何地方。帕尔梅拉斯最后一场比赛是3天前在主场进行的。在赛季的这个阶段会有很大的不同。

帕尔梅拉斯在本赛季的8场客场比赛中赢了4场,但他们取得了比他们实际应该取得的更好的成绩。在这8场客场比赛中,他们丢了4球,但根据预期丢球模型,他们应该丢10.27球。这是巨大的差异。对于我来说,很难想象他们在左路有如此大的问题的今天还能不失球。

美洲应该至少能进一球,这在今天应该足以取得至少一分。

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