Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Velez Sarsfield host River Plate for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 8 clash at Estadio José Amalfitani Buenos Aires. This is the highest level of this country with an amazingly rich football culture. By global standards this is a not a top, but still a good league. Most teams play pretty well-structured and organized football and typically for other South American countries’ leagues the goal expectancy is on average pretty low. However, both of these two teams have quite good offensive potential (maybe hard to believe taking a look at the standings though) and I would say 0-0 would be a surprise here. However, I see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. The draw would certainly not be a surprise at all, and the probability is 34%. This result would be enough to bring yet another winner with the +0.5 goals handicap option on the hosts. The chance of my fans and I winning is 65%. Indeed, the visitors are, in my opinion, only marginal favorites here. By pure class they are of course stronger than the hosts but despite the fact the Velez Sarsfield do not have quite the best fans the home advantage is substantia.

The betting market seems to rate one of the most iconic Argentinian clubs, along with Boca Juniors, as solid favorites. Both of these giants have a glorious past, vast financial resources, big number of fans and also get a lot of media attention. These factors do affect the odds. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com the visitors’ players’ have a total market of close to 100 million euros which is undoubtedly way too much! I would say around 75 million would be a more fair amount. At least four players are over-valued. Left-winger Esequiel Barco,23, who is valued at 10 million is the most over-valued player, but at least three more players are not really worth the current valuation on the pitch. The hosts’ squad is valued at approximately 47 million, which is pretty much correct in my view. Player’s total market value in general is a quite good indicator on a team’s level on the pitch but can also be misleading.. Both teams have been very disappointing in this league so far result-wise but also on the pitch. Both did play pretty well on Copa De La Liga Professional, a competition with 14 rounds played before this league started and will surely climb up the standings as the season progresses. However, both have one just one of their latest five matches.. Velez Sarsfield played actually pretty well in their most recent match despite losing to Colon Santa Fe 1-2. They had close to 65% ball possession and recorded more scoring attempts, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. River Plate beat poor Barracas Central 3-0 away from home some four days ago, but were disappointing before that and lost at home as huge favorites.

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贝莱斯萨斯菲尔德主场迎战河床队，阿根廷西甲职业联赛第8轮在布宜诺斯艾利斯José阿马尔菲塔尼球场进行。这是这个拥有丰富足球文化的国家的最高水平。以全球标准来看，这不是一个顶级联赛，但仍然是一个不错的联赛。大多数球队踢的是结构良好、组织有序的足球，而在其他南美国家的联赛中，平均预期目标很低。然而，这两支球队都有很好的进攻潜力(也许很难相信看一下排名)，我想说0-0在这里会是一个惊喜。然而，我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分更低。这次抽奖肯定不会让人感到意外，概率是34%。这一结果足以为东道主带来另一个有+0.5球障碍选项的赢家。我和我的粉丝获胜的概率是65%事实上，在我看来，这里的游客都是不太受欢迎的。就纯实力而言，他们当然比东道主更强，但尽管萨斯菲尔德没有最好的球迷，主场优势也很薄弱。

市场似乎将阿根廷最具标志性的俱乐部之一，以及博卡青年列为最受欢迎的球队。这两个巨人都有辉煌的过去，巨大的财政资源，大量的球迷，也得到了很多媒体的关注。这些因素确实会影响几率。根据德国知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，游客“球员”的总市场接近1亿欧元，这无疑是太多了!我认为7500万左右是一个更合理的数字。至少有四名球员被高估了。23岁的左边锋埃斯奎尔·巴科的身价高达1000万美元，是最被高估的球员，但至少还有3名球员不符合目前球场上的估值。东道主球队的身价大约是4700万，在我看来这是非常正确的。一般来说，球员的总市值是球队在球场上水平的一个很好的指标，但也可能会产生误导。到目前为止，两支球队在联赛中都表现得非常令人失望，当然在球场上也是如此。他们在西甲职业杯上的表现都非常出色，在本赛季开始前的14轮比赛中，他们的排名肯定会随着赛季的推进而上升。然而，在最近的五场比赛中，他们都有一场比赛。萨斯菲尔德在最近的一场比赛中发挥得非常好，尽管他们1比2输给了科隆圣达菲。他们的控球率接近65%，记录了更多的得分尝试、完成传球、进攻和危险的进攻。大约4天前，河床在客场3-0击败了可怜的巴拉卡斯中心，但在那之前我们很失望，在主场输掉了比赛。