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Weekend's best bet! 西甲 贝蒂斯vs巴萨

2021-02-07

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2021-02-08 04:00

解读理由

This is the best bet for some time, as Barcelona have been great recently, and although both have been in an infernal schedule the tiredness has not shown Barca's performances, and most importantly they have one day of rest between the exciting cup games which both had to extend to extra time! In the case of Betis there is also the negative impact of losing in the end, it was mentally a tough defeat.

In La Liga the results lately - and with xG - have been the following:

There has been a huge improvement both in results and perfomance since Canales returned from injury, but a few things need to be noticed. Firstly, the run has been easy as the only good teams they faced have been Sevilla and Sociedad. The derby v Sevilla in fact has been their best performance this season, they had the mental and freshness edge in it but yet failed to win. Away in San Sebastian they made a miraculous escape with two late - and undeserved - goals.

There has also been cup, which has involved an extra time win over Sociedad at home, and the loss on Thursday after penalties. Three games in a week, with mostly unrotated key players!

Barcelona I have discussed a lot and they have had a similar week, but played their cup match on Wednesday. 2-2 after 90 minutes and extra time was needed, but it was one of their best performances of the season and in all fairness if it had ended 0-5 no one would complain. Messi alone was involved in 21 shots in the game, and the whole club created roughly 5.0 xG. They hit the woodwork 3 times, and the Granada 2nd choice keeper played the match of his life, a match he will never forget.

In La Liga Barcelona have recently looked like this:

They have dominated all the last 10 games with a 8-2-0 saldo. It should be straight 10 wins, but there is the element of randomness and the fact that Barcelona players have made the most individual errors in the defense to lead to a conceded goal, 6 in total with basically all defense line involved. In the Granada game the culprit was cb Umtiti, earlier this week it has been Alba, and Lenglet has not been fool-proof either. Neither Mingueza when forced to play as a full-back.

The good news is that the attack is currently playing wonderfully, Griezmann and De Jong have found their optimal roles alongside Leo Messi!

At injury front Betis will be relatively ok. There may be a few covid quarantine cases, important midfielder Guido Rodriguez should be back. At Barcelona Sergio Roberto injured himself again, and in the case of others the situation is unchanged.

I expect Barcelona to field a similar lineup than in the Granada game, except that Mingueza and Dembele might start on the right side as Trincao is so unlucky with his finishing, but Betis coach Pellegrini will be making rotation which are hard to predict.

Barcelona easily able to score +3 goals in this form, and it is enough for a win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在最近的西甲联赛中——和xG一起——结果如下,如图1:

自从卡纳莱斯伤愈后,在结果和表现上都有了很大的改善,但有一些事情需要注意。首先,比赛很轻松,因为他们唯一面对的好球队是塞维利亚和社会。德比大战塞维利亚实际上是他们本赛季表现最好的一场比赛,他们有精神上和新鲜感上的优势,但是没有赢得比赛。客场对圣塞巴斯蒂安的比赛中,他们奇迹般的躲过一劫,在比赛最后时刻打进了两个不应得的进球。

还有杯赛,在加时赛中主场战胜了皇家社会,以及周四的点球失利。一周三场比赛,主要球员都没有轮换!

巴塞罗那我已经讨论了很多,他们有一个类似的一周,但周三他们杯比赛。90年之后2分钟,需要额外的时间,但这是他们的一个表现最好的赛季,平心而论,如果它结束了0 - 5没有人会抱怨。梅西一人在比赛中有21次射门,整个俱乐部创造了大约5.0 xG的助攻。他们击中门框3次,格拉纳达第二门将踢出了他生命中最重要的一场比赛,一场他永远不会忘记的比赛。

在西甲,巴塞罗那队最近的表现是这样的,如图2:

他们在过去的10场比赛8胜2平,本应该是连续10场胜利,但是有随机性的因素,而且事实上巴塞罗那球员在防守中犯了最多的个人错误导致失球,在几乎所有防线都被卷入的情况下总共犯了6个。在对格拉纳达的比赛中,罪魁祸首是乌姆蒂蒂,本周早些时候是阿尔巴,伦格莱也不是万无一失。当被逼做边后卫的时候,他们都不是明戈扎。

好消息是,目前进攻踢得很好,格里兹曼和德容已经找到了与梅西搭档的最佳位置!

在伤病的前线,贝蒂斯会比较好。可能会有一些新冠病毒的隔离病例,重要的中场球员圭多·罗德里格斯应该会回来。在巴塞罗那,塞尔吉奥·罗伯托再次受伤,在其他球队的情况下,情况没有改变。

我希望巴萨的阵容会和对格拉纳达的比赛相似,除了明戈萨和登贝莱可能会在右边首发,因为特林考的射门很不走运,但贝蒂斯的教练佩莱格里尼将会轮换。

看好巴萨客场取胜。

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