Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Ingason out

2022-07-12

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期三2022-07-13 03:30

解读理由

A few quick words about this as I have previewed the first leg

https://expert.hongcai.163.com/index.html#/article/2530046

and I do not believe these odds will stand for long.

Malmö won the first leg as expected, they were helped by the referee who sent out the Icelandic scorer in a silly way - for celebrating a goal - but they also managed to mess up the -1.5 handicap at added time.

So in theory the match is still alive.

Yet the class difference was out there for all eyes to see, and as the team news and form now favor Malmö compared to the first leg -

Ingason is suspended for Vikingur and Malmö getting most of their doubts back although Hadzikaduniz might be out.

Form? There is not much point to compare results in their local leagues as the top Icelandic teams would suffer badly in Allsvenskan, but Malmö are showing improved form, and beating Varberg by 3-0 last time is a good benchmark for this, especially as the winning margin was so so narrow that Malmö has to prepare for this seriously.

Long story short, Malmö win this by more than 60% probability and score at least twice.

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