In my opinion Qarabaq have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

First match between both teams finished with Lech 1:0 home win, but that wasn't deserved result: expected goals scored for Qarabaq 1.01, for Lech 0.84.

Match going to be played in Baku - very hot weather today, above 30 degree with big humidity. It's not typical Polish weather and this is huge advantage for home side.

Qarabaq is well prepared for this game, on the other hand Lech at the weekend played Super Cup in Poland (they wanted to reschedule, but Rakow not agreed). Lech lost 0:2 and for sure that wasn't worked good for their morale. Additional match can be also factor in fitness department. 3 key Lech defense players (central defender Milic and defensive midfielders duo Karlstom & Murawski) played in that game and looked tired. I see big troubles for them in Baku today. Qarabaq don't have problems with goalscoring at home as they have fast players in attack and they scored more than one goal in 5 of last 7 matches in Champions League qualies at home.

Obviously, Lech Poznań won title in previous season in Polish Ekstraklasa, but they not played in group stage of European Cups for a while. On the other hand Qarabaq played in group stage of European Cups in last 7 consecutive seasons (!!!) - 5 times in Europa League, once in Champions League and Conference League. It's huge difference.

Maciej Skorza coached Lech Poznań in previous season and he gave them title, but in pre-season he decided to left the club due to serious personal problems. Lech signed new coach Broom from Netherlands and he never worked in Poland. On the other hand Qarabaq have the same coach for already 14 years. Once again - it's huge difference and big advantage for Qarabaq.

Qarabaq don't had big changes in their squad at pre season and that is another positive sign. On the other hand Lech today will play without so many players which played in previous season important role in team: Ramirez, Tiba, Kaminski, Kownacki, Salamon, Kedziora or Van der Hart.

Lech new coach is in club only 4 weeks, he will try to play with new formation and there is many changes in squad. For sure this is huge advantage for Qarabaq because they are well built and have rhythm and good work flow together. Home ground and weather conditions also are huge advantage for them.

On those circumstances Qarabaq is clear favorite.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，Qarabaq有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得胜利。

两队的首场比赛，莱赫主场1:0获胜，但这并不是应得的结果:卡拉巴克的预期进球数为1.01，莱赫为0.84。

比赛将在巴库进行，今天天气很热，30度以上，湿度很大。这不是典型的波兰天气，这对主队来说是巨大的优势。

卡拉巴克为这场比赛做了充分的准备，另一方面莱赫周末在波兰踢了超级杯(他们想重新安排，但拉科夫不同意)。莱赫0:2输了，当然这对他们的士气没有好处。额外的比赛也可以是健身部门考虑的因素。莱赫的3名关键防守球员(中卫米里奇和后腰卡尔斯通和穆拉斯基)参加了那场比赛，看起来很疲惫。我看到他们今天在巴库有大麻烦了。卡拉巴克在主场没有进球的问题，因为他们有快速进攻的球员，他们在最近7场欧冠资格赛的主场比赛中有5场进球超过1个。

显然，莱赫Poznań在上个赛季在波兰埃克斯特拉克拉萨夺冠，但他们有一段时间没有参加欧洲杯小组赛。另一方面，卡拉巴克连续7个赛季参加了欧洲杯小组赛(!!)——5次参加欧联杯，1次参加欧冠和欧联杯。这是巨大的差异。

Maciej Skorza在上个赛季执教Lech Poznań，他给了他们冠军，但在季前赛他决定离开俱乐部，因为严重的个人问题。莱赫从荷兰签下了新教练布鲁姆，他从未在波兰工作过。另一方面，Qarabaq已经有同一个教练14年了。这对Qarabaq来说又是一个巨大的差异和优势。

卡拉巴克在季前赛的阵容没有太大的变化，这是另一个积极的迹象。另一方面，莱赫今天将没有很多在上个赛季在球队中扮演重要角色的球员:拉米雷斯、提巴、卡明斯基、科纳基、萨拉蒙、凯德齐奥拉或范德哈特。

莱赫的新教练在俱乐部只有4周的时间，他将尝试使用新的阵型，阵容有很多变化。当然，这对Qarabaq来说是巨大的优势，因为他们体格健壮，有节奏，有良好的工作流程。主场和天气条件也是他们的巨大优势。

在这种情况下，Qarabaq显然是最受欢迎的。