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8/7: TOP CLASS VALUE IN SWEDEN

2022-07-11

比赛分析

瑞超

已完赛

星期二2022-07-12 01:00

解读理由

Hammarby are not in its best moment after a fantastic start to the season. They are winless in the last three matches - better said they won only 1 in their last 7 Allsvenskan matches. After 5 rounds and as many victories, it sounded like Hammarby had already won the Allsvenskan and everything was peace and joy in the club where new coach Martí Cífuentes was hailed to the skies. But after 7 matches without a victory and a lost cup final for Hammarby, the tone is different. The team's best goal scorer to date Williot Swedberg has left for Celta Vigo, which can also be a contributing factor to the missed goals. Perhaps the team's most important player has instead been full-back Mohanad Jeahze , who is both important defensively and a threat on the offensive. However, he has been surrounded by relocation rumors recently, mainly Celtic, and although they have diminished, there is some uncertainty about whether his future is in Hammarby or abroad. Recently, it was also announced that assistant coach Ivan Pinol Zoroa has broken his contract despite joining at the beginning of the season. The things look not so great for hosts at the moment.

On the away side we have Goteborg who is a point behind Hammarby and are doing well in the most recent period: Goteborg won their last three matches. Indeed, against a lower profile team, two at the home field but a good form is a good form. In the matches against stronger teams on the away ground, things stand like these: Goetborg won over leaders Hacken 2-0 in the first match of the season, and it's the only loss for Hacken in the season. Against Malmo and AIK, they lost 0-1, and against Elfsborg 0-3 result. So only once in 4 matches, they lose by 2 or more goals difference, covering handicap. I think they are able to make another positive result on the road. It won' the easy to achieve it as the home team is running out on the field with big pressure to win the match, and will have as always loud and fantastic support of its local fans, but the value is for sure on this handicap that covers 1 goal loss. Goteborg is traditionally one of the biggest Swedish teams despite their recent history isn't so great as in the 20th century. The value is here, especialy if we know that Oscar Vilhemson is back and there are no new injuries on the side. Erik Sorga missed the last match against Degerfors due to illness and should be eligible again. A key player of Goteborg is classy striker Berg, and he is in form, scoring the two goals in the mentioned win over Degerfors.

H2H is definitely against our selection here. But sometimes, we have to skip one factor and close one eye on it as there is no perfection in betting, at least not so often as we would like. I have confidence that this one is a value so whatever result comes, I am happy right now to put stakes on a value bet. Think this clash won't be full of goals.


本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

哈马比在经历了一个梦幻般的赛季开局后,并没有处于最佳状态。他们在最近的三场比赛中没有赢球——更确切地说,他们在最近的7场比赛中只赢了1场。在5轮和同样多的胜利之后,听起来好像哈马比已经赢得了奥斯文斯坎,俱乐部里的一切都是和平和喜悦的,新教练Martí Cífuentes被捧上了天。但是哈马比在7场比赛中没有取得胜利,并且在杯赛决赛中输掉了一场比赛之后,气氛就不一样了。球队迄今为止最好的射手威利奥特·斯韦德伯格已经加盟维戈塞尔塔,这也可能是错失进球的一个因素。也许球队最重要的球员是边后卫莫哈纳德·杰赫兹,他在防守端很重要,在进攻端也很有威胁。然而,他最近被转会传闻所包围,主要是凯尔特人的传闻,尽管传闻已经减少,但他的未来是在哈马比还是在国外还是有些不确定性。最近,也有消息称助理教练伊万·皮诺·佐罗亚在赛季初加盟球队,但却违反了合同。对于东道主来说,目前的情况看起来不太好。

客场我们有哥德堡,他落后哈马比一分,最近一段时间表现不错:哥德堡赢了最近三场比赛。事实上,面对一支低调的球队,两个人在主场,但良好的状态就是良好的状态。在客场对阵强队的比赛中,情况是这样的:哥德堡在本赛季首场比赛中2-0战胜了领头羊哈肯,这是哈肯本赛季唯一的失利。对马尔默和AIK,他们0-1输了,对埃尔夫斯堡0-3的结果。所以在4场比赛中只有1场,他们输掉了2个或2个以上的进球数,这就涵盖了差点。我认为他们能够在道路上取得另一个积极的结果。这是很容易实现的,因为主队在场上背负着巨大的压力来赢得比赛,而且会一如既往地得到当地球迷的大声和美妙的支持,但这一缺陷的价值是肯定的,它弥补了1球的损失。哥德堡传统上是瑞典最大的球队之一,尽管他们的近代历史不如20世纪那么伟大。价值就在这里,特别是如果我们知道奥斯卡·维尔海姆森回来了,并且没有新的伤病。索尔加因病错过了上一场对阵德格福斯的比赛,应该会再次获得资格。哥德堡的关键球员是优秀的前锋伯格,他状态良好,在战胜德格福斯的比赛中打进两球。

H2H绝对不符合我们的选择。但有时,我们不得不跳过一个因素,闭上一只眼睛,因为在赌博中没有完美的,至少不像我们希望的那样经常。我有信心这是一个价值,所以无论结果如何,我很高兴现在把赌注押在价值上。我认为这场冲突不会充满目标。

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